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Forecast

Coonabarabran (31.2734°S, 149.2773°E, 501m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 19° 26°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:16am EDT 8:10pm EDT 8:37pm EDT
    NOW
    17.8° Feels Like: 17.7°
    Relative Humidity: 84%
    Dew: 15.1°
    Wind: E 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.4mm
    Pressure: 1009.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Coonabarabran
    Now
    22.1°c
    Feels Like:
    20.0°
    Wind:
    E 20km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Possible shower
     
    19°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Coonabarabran
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    18°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 35.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Coonabarabran

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.

    Forecast for Coonabarabran (31.2734°S, 149.2773°E, 501m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Showers increasing Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Thunderstorms
    Minimum 19° 18° 20° 20° 20° 22° 20°
    Maximum 26° 30° 30° 29° 33° 34° 31°
    Chance of rain 80% 50% 80% 5% 5% 70% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE E NE NNE N NW WNW NE NNW N NW W WNW
    Relative humidity 76% 61% 73% 45% 65% 41% 50% 24% 39% 17% 50% 23% 52% 35%
    Dew point 16°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 13°C 12°C 7°C 10°C 5°C 15°C 10°C 13°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Coonabarabran Rain Forecast


    Coonabarabran 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Coonabarabran Rain Forecast


    Coonabarabran 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    7
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    7
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Coonabarabran Rain Forecast


    Coonabarabran 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Coonabarabran Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    16.6 °C 32.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    17.6 °C 34.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    18.8 °C 35.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    22.0 °C 26.0 °C
    0.1 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    15.5 °C -
    8.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Coonabarabran minimum temp history (31.2734°S, 149.2773°E, 501m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.0° 17/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.0 03/01/2014 Coldest on record 3.6 04/01/2002
    Hottest this year 42.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.0° 17/01/2020
    Long term average 31.4° Long term average 15.6°
    Average this month 36.3° Average this month 20.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 1985 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 2000
    Coonabarabran rainfall history (31.2734°S, 149.2773°E, 501m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.0mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 9.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.7mm 7.2 days Wettest January on record 365.0mm 1985
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Coonabarabran Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 89.7mm 7.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 9.4mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 7.0mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 9.0mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 15.0°C Jan17
    Highest Temperature 42.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Coonabarabran Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.4 30.7 28.1 24.1 19.5 16.0 15.1 17.0 20.4 24.2 27.5 30.2 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 15.2 12.1 7.5 3.8 1.6 0.4 1.1 3.9 7.5 10.9 13.6 7.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 81.0 63.5 52.0 53.5 57.5 55.2 52.5 51.3 59.4 64.4 70.4 750.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.3 5.8 5.1 6.2 7.9 7.7 7.3 6.7 7.2 7.2 7.3 80.9