Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall, Large, Possibly Giant Hailstones And Damaging Winds
for Mid North Coast and parts of Northern Rivers, North West Slopes and Plains and Northern Tablelands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 3:29 pm Tuesday, 11 February 2025.
Severe thunderstorms continuing to develop over eastern and northern parts of the state this afternoon.
Weather Situation
An upper-level low located over the central New South Wales coast combines with rich moisture and unstable conditions to generate thunderstorms over central and northeastern parts of the state. Thunderstorms are expected to continue through the afternoon and into the evening.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL, LARGE, POSSIBLY GIANT HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast, North West Slopes and Plains and Northern Tablelands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally LOCALLY INTENSE that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding, large, possibly GIANT HAILSTONES and damaging wind gusts in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Port Macquarie, Taree, Armidale, Tamworth, Gunnedah and Narrabri.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the Hunter, Central Tablelands and Central West Slopes and Plains districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
59.6 mm was recorded in the 30min to 2:50 pm at Yarras (Mt Seaview).
38.0 mm was recorded in 1 hour to 10:25 am at Merriwa.
Cancellation for the following areas:
Central Tablelands,Hunter,Central West Slopes and Plains
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 6:30 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Cessnock (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY18° 29° possible thunderstorm Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:01am EDT 6:27am EDT 7:50pm EDT 8:16pm EDT NOW20.7° Feels Like: 22.1° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 19.0° Wind: E 9km/h Gust: 9km/h Rainfall since 9am: 7.0mm Pressure: 1010.0hPa -
Today Weather
CessnockNow21.0°cFeels Like:22.5°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:85%18°Min29°MaxToday in CessnockPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm possibly severe. Severe storms with heavy falls, hail and damaging winds possible about the Upper Hunter. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.Tomorrow18°Min28°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm possibly severe. Severe storms with heavy falls, hail and damaging winds possible about the Upper Hunter. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
Forecast for Cessnock (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 18° 18° 19° 18° 20° 16° 12° Maximum 29° 28° 30° 31° 29° 24° 25° Chance of rain 60% 60% 50% 70% 60% 20% 10% Likely amount 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)20
(km/h)5
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)11
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction WNW E SW E ENE ENE NE NE WSW SSE SW SW WSW WSW Relative humidity 96% 94% 87% 67% 79% 55% 75% 50% 81% 56% 69% 38% 59% 37% Dew point 18°C 19°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 12°C 6°C 9°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cessnock Rain Forecast
Cessnock 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20252026578768764843105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 14
ENSO status: La Niña-like conditions. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Negative. Trending slightly negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña-like pattern. Recent conditions show some atmosphere-ocean coupling, resulting in the US declaring a La Niña event has started. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over northern and eastern Australia, while reducing rainfall over southern coastal Australia and western Tas. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and does not play a part in Australia's climate during this time of year. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is in a negative phase. Recent forecasts show negative SAM is more likely to dominate for the remainder of summer, due to the polar vortex taking an unusually long time to recover from the stratospheric warming event in winter 2024. During summer, a negative SAM decreases rainfall over most of southeastern Australia, and increases rainfall for far southwest WA and western Tas. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall over large parts of the country during summer, with closer to average conditions for the southwest corner of WA, southern SA and Vic, and central parts of Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Cessnock Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Feb 0716.3 °C 32.0 °C 0.2 mmSaturday
Feb 0816.2 °C 32.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Feb 0918.3 °C 29.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Feb 1018.8 °C 26.5 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Feb 1115.1 °C 21.0 °C 4.8 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cessnock minimum temp history (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 34.5° 05/02/2025 Coldest this month 15.1° 11/02/2025 Hottest on record 46.8 11/02/2017 Coldest on record 6.1 23/02/1972 Hottest this year 40.6° 28/01/2025 Coldest this year 12.0° 21/01/2025 Long term average 29.4° Long term average 16.9° Average this month 29.2° Average this month 17.8° Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.6° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.6° 1972 Cessnock rainfall history (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 7.0mm 01/02/2025 Total This Month 16.6mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 102.9mm 11.2 days Wettest February on record 245.0mm 2002 Driest on record 20.4mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Cessnock Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 175.7mm 21.2 day(s) Total For 2025 148.0mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2024 59.6mm 13.0 day(s) Wettest Day 34.0mm Jan16 Lowest Temperature 12.0°C Jan21 Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cessnock Climatology
Cessnock Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.4 27.4 24.2 20.8 17.8 17.6 19.6 22.6 25.4 27.1 29.2 24.3 Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.1 10.7 7.5 5.7 4.3 4.6 7.1 9.9 13.3 15.4 10.7 Mean Rain (mm) 72.8 102.9 89.4 59.6 40.7 55.4 36.8 34.7 44.5 55.6 77.0 78.0 742.7 Mean Rain Days 10.0 11.2 11.2 10.2 9.7 9.9 8.6 7.7 8.1 9.9 9.9 10.7 116.7