Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts
Issued at 04:07 PM EST on Saturday 27 July 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Sunday. Areas likely to be affected include the Southern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains forecast districts and parts of the Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Central West Slopes & Plains, Riverina and Australian Capital Territory forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Saturday.
Forecast
Albury (36.0821°S, 146.9102°E, 155m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW1° 12° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 30% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:45am EST 7:12am EST 5:26pm EST 5:53pm EST NOW7.0° Feels Like: 2.7° Relative Humidity: 90% Dew: 5.5° Wind: W 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 5.2mm Pressure: 1018.5hPa -
Today Weather
AlburyNow6.6°cFeels Like:2.5°Wind:W 17km/hGusts:22km/hHumidity:99%1°Min12°MaxToday in AlburyPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SE in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 600 metres. Possible small hail in the SE in the morning. Patches of morning frost. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 14.Tomorrow1°Min12°MaxMostly sunny. Areas of morning frost. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around minus 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 15. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the SE in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Snow possible above 600 metres. Possible small hail in the SE in the morning. Patches of morning frost. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 1 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 14.
Forecast for Albury (36.0821°S, 146.9102°E, 155m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary Minimum 1° -2° -3° -1° 0° 0° 3° Maximum 12° 13° 14° 14° 15° 16° 15° Chance of rain 30% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk High Severe Severe Severe High High Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)25
(km/h)2
(km/h)10
(km/h)1
(km/h)9
(km/h)1
(km/h)7
(km/h)2
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW SSW WSW SSE WSW SE WSW SE NNW ESE NE ENE NNE Relative humidity 88% 53% 79% 49% 81% 50% 80% 51% 83% 51% 82% 51% 79% 57% Dew point 3°C 2°C 0°C 2°C 0°C 3°C 2°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 3°C 5°C 5°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Albury Rain Forecast
Albury 12-month Rainfall ForecastJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun20242025877667787358105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jul 25
ENSO status: La Niña Watch. IOD status: Neutral. Negative possible. SAM status: Negative. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in a La Niña Watch, meaning there is approximately a 50% chance of a La Niña developing this year. Some ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. However, the Nino3.4 region is still warm from last years El Niño, meaning if La Niña were to develop, it would likely be declared no earlier than October. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be neutral. A La Niña typically increases rainfall over central Australia, Qld and NSW, but has little effect on southern WA, SA, Vic and Tas during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean warming has been occurring near Indonesia, with far more modest warming near Africa, lowering the IOD index. Northerly winds have weakened off theAustralian continent, but cloud patterns are more inline with a positive phase. All this indicates that a negative IOD could be developing, but the atmosphere and oceans are currently decoupled. 4 out of 5 of the international models (all except BoMs model) are forecasting a negative IOD by October. A negative IOD increases the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, increasing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is negative after a Sudden Stratospheric Warming event over Antartica in mid-July. This event has significantly altered the shape of the polar vortex, and directly leads to a negative SAM phase. Given the magnitude of this change, weather in Australia (and the rest of the southern hemisphere) will likely go through periods of wetter (trough) and drier (ridge) patterns every 2-4 weeks during winter and spring. A negative SAM increases the frequency of cold fronts. During the cool months, this increasesrainfall through southwest WA, SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas, and dries out eastern Qld and NSW. Rainfall outlooks are showing above average rainfall for southwest WA, southern SA, inland and southern NSW, Vic and Tas in August and September. From October, wetter than average conditions are expected for eastern Australia, and drier for inland parts of WA.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Albury Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Jul 236.4 °C 16.9 °C 0.2 mmWednesday
Jul 242.4 °C 15.5 °C 0.2 mmThursday
Jul 257.5 °C 14.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Jul 264.3 °C 15.0 °C 2.6 mmSaturday
Jul 271.2 °C 15.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Albury minimum temp history (36.0821°S, 146.9102°E, 155m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 17.1° 04/07/2024 Coldest this month -2.1° 07/07/2024 Hottest on record 20.5 18/07/2013 Coldest on record -3.4 13/07/1997 Hottest this year 39.7° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year -2.2° 19/06/2024 Long term average 13.2° Long term average 3.1° Average this month 13.7° Average this month 3.1° Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 14.6° 1999 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 0.3° 1997 Albury rainfall history (36.0821°S, 146.9102°E, 155m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 17.2mm 20/07/2024 Total This Month 55.2mm
16.0 daysLong Term Average 65.3mm 16.6 days Wettest July on record 163.0mm 1995 Driest on record 16.4mm 1997 -
Year to Date
Albury Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jul 359.1mm 63.9 day(s) Total For 2024 244.2mm 52.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 527.0mm 78.0 day(s) Wettest Day 31.6mm May31 Lowest Temperature -2.2°C Jun19 Highest Temperature 39.7°C Feb 4 -
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Weather Radar for Australia
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Albury Climatology
Albury Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 32.3 31.1 27.8 22.6 17.6 14.0 13.2 14.9 18.1 22.0 26.1 29.5 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 16.8 16.2 13.1 8.5 5.5 3.7 3.1 3.6 5.6 8.1 11.8 14.1 9.2 Mean Rain (mm) 54.2 41.1 45.4 40.9 48.8 63.4 65.3 67.8 57.8 54.0 67.8 40.1 647.4 Mean Rain Days 6.3 5.2 5.6 6.3 9.3 14.6 16.6 14.1 10.6 8.6 8.2 6.7 112.6