Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, New South Wales
Final Flood Warning For Tuggerah Lake
Issued at 10:47 AM EST on Friday 10 May 2024
Flood Warning Number: 11
FLOODING IS NO LONGER OCCURRING AT LONG JETTY
Tuggerah Lake levels at Long Jetty fell below the minor flood level early Friday morning.
Further rainfall is forecast throughout Friday and over the weekend. This may result in renewed river and lake level rises in the Wyong River and Tuggerah Lake catchment.
The situation is being closely monitored and a warning will be issued if required.
Tuggerah Lake:
Flooding is no longer occurring in Tuggerah Lake.
The Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty is currently at 0.82 metres and falling, below the minor flood level (0.90 metres).
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be deceptive and dangerous.}
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/greatersydney.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next issue:
This is a final warning, no further warnings will be issued for this event.
Latest River Heights:
Jilliby Creek at Jilliby,1.02,Steady,10:00 AM FRI 10/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at Long Jetty,0.82,Steady,10:15 AM FRI 10/05/24
Tuggerah Lake at The Entrance,0.80,Steady,10:15 AM FRI 10/05/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts.
Forecast
Abernethy (32.8832°S, 151.3967°E, 81m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
12° 19° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 6:09am EST 6:35am EST 5:07pm EST 5:33pm EST NOW17.7° Feels Like: 16.6° Relative Humidity: 87% Dew: 15.5° Wind: SE 15km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm Pressure: 1022.8hPa -
Today Weather
AbernethyNow17.5°cFeels Like:16.4°Wind:E 17km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:93%
12°Min19°MaxToday in AbernethyCloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.Tomorrow
11°Min21°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm about the Lower Hunter. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 21. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.
Forecast for Abernethy (32.8832°S, 151.3967°E, 81m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary 
Minimum 12° 11° 11° 9° 11° 9° 11° Maximum 19° 21° 22° 23° 23° 22° 22° Chance of rain 90% 50% 50% 40% 40% 10% 30% Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction ESE ESE W SW W SW W S SW E WNW ESE WSW SE Relative humidity 96% 88% 96% 71% 87% 64% 83% 58% 90% 63% 93% 61% 92% 67% Dew point 16°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 13°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 13°C 16°C 14°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Abernethy Rain Forecast
Abernethy 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202566776589456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Abernethy Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
May 0710.1 °C 21.3 °C 14.2 mmWednesday
May 0810.7 °C 20.7 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 0911.0 °C 21.1 °C 0.4 mmFriday
May 1011.9 °C 20.6 °C 0.4 mmSaturday
May 1114.4 °C 17.7 °C 6.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Abernethy minimum temp history (32.8832°S, 151.3967°E, 81m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 21.3° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 9.5° 03/05/2024 Hottest on record 29.2 04/05/2007 Coldest on record -3.8 15/05/1996 Hottest this year 41.9° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 7.0° 26/04/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 7.4° Average this month 20.1° Average this month 11.7° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.4° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 4.4° 2012 Abernethy rainfall history (32.8832°S, 151.3967°E, 81m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 40.6mm 06/05/2024 Total This Month 98.2mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 38.6mm 9.5 days Wettest May on record 122.8mm 1998 Driest on record 1.6mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Abernethy Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 359.5mm 52.1 day(s) Total For 2024 397.6mm 56.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 349.4mm 48.0 day(s) Wettest Day 93.2mm Apr 6 Lowest Temperature 7.0°C Apr26 Highest Temperature 41.9°C Jan26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Abernethy Climatology
Abernethy Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.4 29.4 27.4 24.2 20.8 17.9 17.6 19.6 22.6 25.4 27.0 29.1 24.2 Mean Min (°C) 17.1 16.9 15.1 10.7 7.4 5.7 4.2 4.5 7.1 9.9 13.2 15.3 10.6 Mean Rain (mm) 72.8 102.9 89.4 55.8 38.6 54.6 36.7 34.6 44.4 56.4 78.1 79.7 743.9 Mean Rain Days 10.0 11.2 11.2 10.2 9.5 9.8 8.5 7.6 8.1 9.9 9.9 10.8 116.2
