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Forecast

Oxley (35.4143°S, 149.0799°E, 607m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 19° 32°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EDT 6:12am EDT 8:18pm EDT 8:47pm EDT
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 15.7°
    Relative Humidity: 50%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: ESE 11km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1004.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Oxley
    Now
    23.4°c
    Feels Like:
    18.8°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    25%
    Showers
     
    19°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Oxley
    Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds in the afternoon and evening. Possible raised dust during the day. Light winds becoming NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Slight chance of a shower in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming W 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm with gusty winds in the afternoon and evening. Possible raised dust during the day. Light winds becoming NW 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening.

    Forecast for Oxley (35.4143°S, 149.0799°E, 607m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Showers Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 16° 14° 17° 18° 18° 16°
    Maximum 32° 28° 31° 34° 34° 33° 32°
    Chance of rain 60% 10% 30% 30% 30% 30% 20%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NW NW WNW NE N N NW NE NNW NNW WNW NE NNW
    Relative humidity 31% 42% 55% 22% 68% 28% 66% 22% 72% 31% 58% 19% 69% 26%
    Dew point 8°C 16°C 11°C 4°C 13°C 10°C 15°C 9°C 17°C 14°C 14°C 7°C 14°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Oxley Rain Forecast


    Oxley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Oxley Rain Forecast


    Oxley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    5
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    4
    3
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Oxley Rain Forecast


    Oxley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    20
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Oxley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    17.2 °C 26.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    14.4 °C 30.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    15.5 °C 26.1 °C
    1.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    14.5 °C 27.3 °C
    8.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    12.2 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Oxley minimum temp history (35.4143°S, 149.0799°E, 607m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.4° 02/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.2 18/01/1998 Coldest on record 3.8 12/01/2012
    Hottest this year 43.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.4° 02/01/2020
    Long term average 29.5° Long term average 14.3°
    Average this month 29.9° Average this month 14.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.0° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2000
    Oxley rainfall history (35.4143°S, 149.0799°E, 607m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.6mm 21/01/2020 Total This Month 20.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 56.0mm 7.3 days Wettest January on record 144.6mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Oxley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 56.0mm 7.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 20.4mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 37.0mm 6.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 8.6mm Jan21
    Lowest Temperature 11.4°C Jan 2
    Highest Temperature 43.3°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Oxley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.1 25.3 20.9 16.6 13.0 12.2 14.1 17.6 20.8 24.3 27.1 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.2 11.4 6.8 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.3 9.8 12.2 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 56.0 81.2 54.9 35.4 25.4 59.9 43.4 48.8 64.3 53.3 74.6 68.7 666.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.1 6.0 10.4 11.1 9.2 8.7 8.4 9.5 8.1 95.0