Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 10:00 PM WST on Wednesday 08 May 2024
for the period until midnight WST Thursday 09 May 2024
Wind Warnings for Thursday 09 May
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Lancelin Coast, Perth Coast, Bunbury Geographe Coast and Leeuwin Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Albany Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 am WST Thursday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Nillup (34.1366°S, 115.2557°E, 42m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW15° 25° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:34am WST 7:01am WST 5:31pm WST 5:57pm WST NOW15.2° Feels Like: 12.8° Relative Humidity: 72% Dew: 10.2° Wind: E 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.2hPa -
Today Weather
NillupNow17.9°cFeels Like:13.9°Wind:NE 24km/hGusts:28km/hHumidity:69%15°Min25°MaxToday in NillupPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the SouthW Capes in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the SouthW Capes in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow15°Min25°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h turning NW 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the SouthW Capes in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the SouthW Capes in the late afternoon and evening. Winds NE 25 to 40 km/h becoming light in the evening then becoming N 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for Nillup (34.1366°S, 115.2557°E, 42m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 15° 17° 13° 13° 13° 13° 11° Maximum 25° 24° 23° 23° 23° 23° 21° Chance of rain 80% 80% 70% 80% 60% 5% 20% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)25
(km/h)23
(km/h)34
(km/h)7
(km/h)9
(km/h)11
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NE NNW NW E W ENE NE SSW SSW SE SSE E E Relative humidity 55% 48% 87% 83% 83% 62% 88% 81% 88% 71% 80% 66% 84% 59% Dew point 9°C 14°C 19°C 19°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 12°C 13°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Nillup Rain Forecast
Nillup 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025565565108766105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Nillup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
May 0413.4 °C 18.4 °C 3.6 mmSunday
May 0511.0 °C 19.9 °C 0.0 mmMonday
May 0610.9 °C 21.1 °C 2.8 mmTuesday
May 0710.0 °C 24.7 °C 0.4 mmWednesday
May 0810.7 °C 24.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Nillup minimum temp history (34.1366°S, 115.2557°E, 42m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.1° 01/05/2024 Coldest this month 13.9° 07/05/2024 Hottest on record 29.3 03/05/1907 Coldest on record 5.3 31/05/1928 Hottest this year 36.4° 10/02/2024 Coldest this year 13.8° 26/04/2024 Long term average 19.2° Long term average 13.8° Average this month 21.4° Average this month 16.2° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.3° 2003 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 11.5° 1968 Nillup rainfall history (34.1366°S, 115.2557°E, 42m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 8.8mm 02/05/2024 Total This Month 15.6mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 135.5mm 19.5 days Wettest May on record 313.8mm 1963 Driest on record 31.6mm 2023 -
Year to Date
Nillup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 256.1mm 53.5 day(s) Total For 2024 28.4mm 21.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 143.2mm 31.0 day(s) Wettest Day 8.8mm May 2 Lowest Temperature 13.8°C Apr26 Highest Temperature 36.4°C Feb10 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Nillup Climatology
Nillup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.1 23.4 22.8 21.3 19.2 17.5 16.5 16.5 17.2 18.3 20.2 21.8 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 17.0 17.4 16.8 15.5 13.8 12.3 11.4 11.3 11.8 12.6 14.2 15.8 14.2 Mean Rain (mm) 16.0 15.9 28.6 60.1 135.5 174.8 180.4 135.3 89.9 62.6 36.7 19.6 955.2 Mean Rain Days 5.9 5.9 8.8 13.4 19.5 22.1 24.6 23.1 20.0 16.8 11.2 8.0 179.3