Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for North East forecast district
Issued at 04:41 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
North East forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures and southeasterly winds are expected during Saturday morning. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the North East forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Saturday.
Forecast
Running Creek (36.5318°S, 147.0506°E, 259m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY4° 16° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:21am EST 6:48am EST 5:31pm EST 5:58pm EST NOW5.4° Feels Like: 4.0° Relative Humidity: 89% Dew: 3.7° Wind: N 0km/h Gust: 0km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1026.0hPa -
Today Weather
Running CreekNow1.0°cFeels Like:-0.9°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:99%4°Min16°MaxToday in Running CreekPatches of frost and the chance of fog in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22.Tomorrow6°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 24. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Patches of frost and the chance of fog in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22.
Forecast for Running Creek (36.5318°S, 147.0506°E, 259m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 4° 6° 9° 6° 3° 3° 4° Maximum 16° 17° 17° 14° 14° 14° 14° Chance of rain 5% 10% 5% 5% 10% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate No Rating - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 3
(km/h)7
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)5
(km/h)5
(km/h)4
(km/h)5
(km/h)Wind direction ENE N ENE N ENE NW S S S SSE S WSW S SSW Relative humidity 69% 45% 70% 50% 71% 45% 63% 46% 67% 46% 67% 46% 66% 48% Dew point 6°C 5°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 5°C 3°C 2°C 3°C 2°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Running Creek Rain Forecast
Running Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar202420255675556105787105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Running Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 224.5 °C 22.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 233.0 °C 22.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2411.0 °C 18.5 °C 1.0 mmThursday
Apr 251.0 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 268.0 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Running Creek minimum temp history (36.5318°S, 147.0506°E, 259m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.0° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.0° 25/04/2024 Hottest on record 33.4 04/04/1986 Coldest on record -1.6 22/04/2006 Hottest this year 35.0° 13/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.0° 25/04/2024 Long term average 20.9° Long term average 7.5° Average this month 21.0° Average this month 7.3° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 23.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 4.0° 1995 Running Creek rainfall history (36.5318°S, 147.0506°E, 259m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.8mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 33.5mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 57.7mm 7.7 days Wettest April on record 183.2mm 1935 Driest on record 0.0mm 1925 -
Year to Date
Running Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 240.6mm 26.7 day(s) Total For 2024 178.1mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 195.8mm 28.0 day(s) Wettest Day 23.0mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature 1.0°C Apr25 Highest Temperature 35.0°C Feb13 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Running Creek Climatology
Running Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.0 25.8 20.9 16.0 12.6 11.7 13.4 16.6 20.3 23.9 26.7 20.5 Mean Min (°C) 13.9 13.6 11.1 7.5 4.9 3.2 2.4 2.8 4.6 6.9 9.9 12.0 7.6 Mean Rain (mm) 66.6 55.7 60.6 57.7 86.6 101.5 113.0 121.7 102.9 95.6 73.3 74.9 998.5 Mean Rain Days 6.4 5.9 6.7 7.7 10.7 12.8 15.0 14.7 13.0 11.0 8.9 7.7 119.8