Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Issued at 04:51 PM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mallee, Wimmera, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and southerly winds are expected during Tuesday. Areas likely to be affected include the Wimmera forecast district and parts of the Mallee, Northern Country, North Central, North East, South West and Central forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Monday.
Forecast
Arkona (36.3667°S, 142.0167°E, 99m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW5° 17° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:45am EST 7:11am EST 5:49pm EST 6:16pm EST NOW14.1° Feels Like: 9.4° Relative Humidity: 48% Dew: 3.3° Wind: S 17km/h Gust: 19km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1026.0hPa -
Today Weather
ArkonaNow15.2°cFeels Like:9.0°Wind:SE 28km/hGusts:33km/hHumidity:57%5°Min17°MaxToday in ArkonaPartly cloudy. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h tending SE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.Tomorrow5°Min17°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 6 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h tending SE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.
Forecast for Arkona (36.3667°S, 142.0167°E, 99m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 5° 6° 6° 6° 6° 5° 5° Maximum 17° 20° 20° 20° 20° 20° 20° Chance of rain 5% 10% 20% 10% 5% 5% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)18
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)13
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)12
(km/h)Wind direction S S SSE SE SE SE ESE SE SE SSE SE SE ESE E Relative humidity 70% 38% 79% 39% 79% 39% 79% 35% 79% 38% 82% 39% 80% 37% Dew point 5°C 2°C 7°C 5°C 7°C 5°C 8°C 3°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 5°C 7°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Arkona Rain Forecast
Arkona 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025757656598965105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Arkona Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 256.1 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 266.7 °C 16.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 271.9 °C 17.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 285.2 °C 22.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2910.9 °C 20.0 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Arkona minimum temp history (36.3667°S, 142.0167°E, 99m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 27.6° 23/04/2024 Coldest this month 1.9° 27/04/2024 Hottest on record 36.6 01/04/2014 Coldest on record -1.7 28/04/2004 Hottest this year 40.9° 28/02/2024 Coldest this year 1.9° 27/04/2024 Long term average 22.6° Long term average 9.1° Average this month 20.7° Average this month 7.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 7.0° 2006 Arkona rainfall history (36.3667°S, 142.0167°E, 99m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.4mm 02/04/2024 Total This Month 16.4mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 21.4mm 6.8 days Wettest April on record 50.2mm 2014 Driest on record 0.6mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Arkona Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 78.8mm 20.6 day(s) Total For 2024 101.8mm 15.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 76.4mm 35.0 day(s) Wettest Day 20.2mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature 1.9°C Apr27 Highest Temperature 40.9°C Feb28 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Arkona Climatology
Arkona Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.3 30.3 27.3 22.6 17.7 14.6 14.0 15.4 18.4 22.3 26.2 28.9 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.4 11.6 9.1 6.7 4.8 4.5 4.7 5.8 7.4 10.2 12.2 8.7 Mean Rain (mm) 27.7 14.5 15.2 21.4 30.7 39.9 35.3 44.2 32.5 34.7 31.9 27.2 353.0 Mean Rain Days 4.5 3.7 5.6 6.8 12.4 16.0 17.8 16.6 13.5 9.2 7.1 6.5 119.6