Forecast
Swan Bay (41.2962°S, 146.9876°E, 4m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY6° 20° fog then sunny Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:38am EST 7:07am EST 5:08pm EST 5:37pm EST NOW9.8° Feels Like: 9.2° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 8.8° Wind: E 2km/h Gust: 2km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Swan BayNow12.1°cFeels Like:7.7°Wind:SE 24km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:91%6°Min20°MaxToday in Swan BayPartly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.Tomorrow8°Min18°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to around 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Swan Bay
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 16 and 19.
Forecast for Swan Bay (41.2962°S, 146.9876°E, 4m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 6° 8° 6° 5° 8° 4° 7° Maximum 20° 18° 19° 19° 17° 17° 19° Chance of rain 40% 80% 50% 70% 60% 40% 20% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Slight Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 5
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)2
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)15
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE NNW NNW NW N NNW NNW NW Relative humidity 90% 59% 91% 72% 91% 59% 89% 60% 95% 68% 91% 68% 88% 61% Dew point 10°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 10°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 8°C 11°C 10°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Swan Bay Rain Forecast
Swan Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202556555666747105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Swan Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
May 043.7 °C 18.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
May 053.1 °C 18.4 °C 0.0 mmMonday
May 066.0 °C 17.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
May 071.6 °C 18.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
May 085.9 °C 18.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Swan Bay minimum temp history (41.2962°S, 146.9876°E, 4m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 18.6° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 1.0° 01/05/2024 Hottest on record 23.5 03/05/1988 Coldest on record -3.0 18/05/1981 Hottest this year 31.6° 03/01/2024 Coldest this year 0.6° 30/04/2024 Long term average 15.8° Long term average 5.1° Average this month 17.8° Average this month 3.5° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.0° 1988 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 2.6° 2006 Swan Bay rainfall history (41.2962°S, 146.9876°E, 4m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/05/2024 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 63.3mm 12.3 days Wettest May on record 152.9mm 2007 Driest on record 4.0mm 2005 -
Year to Date
Swan Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 232.0mm 41.6 day(s) Total For 2024 132.8mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 179.3mm 38.0 day(s) Wettest Day 30.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 0.6°C Apr30 Highest Temperature 31.6°C Jan 3 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Swan Bay Climatology
Swan Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 24.7 24.6 22.8 19.1 15.8 13.2 12.7 13.9 15.8 18.1 20.7 22.7 18.6 Mean Min (°C) 12.5 12.3 10.4 7.7 5.1 2.9 2.5 3.6 5.3 7.0 9.2 10.9 7.4 Mean Rain (mm) 44.9 31.4 40.9 51.5 63.3 68.7 78.7 83.1 63.0 53.4 50.9 47.8 678.3 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.1 6.8 9.2 12.3 14.0 16.0 16.3 14.1 11.4 9.8 8.3 131.5