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Forecast

Surprise Bay (40.1152°S, 143.916°E, 20m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 13° 17°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:50am &nbsp; 7:19am &nbsp; 5:22pm &nbsp; 5:51pm &nbsp;
    NOW
    17.1° Feels Like: 9.2°
    Relative Humidity: 63%
    Dew: 10.0°
    Wind: E 41km/h
    Gust: 48km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1031.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Surprise Bay
    Now
    13.8°c
    Feels Like:
    6.3°
    Wind:
    E 41km/h
    Gusts:
    48km/h
    Humidity:
    86%
    Windy
     
    13°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Surprise Bay
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 18.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h turning N 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 18.

    Forecast for Surprise Bay (40.1152°S, 143.916°E, 20m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly cloudy Late shower Late shower Clearing shower
    Minimum 13° 12° 12° 11° 11° 10° 10°
    Maximum 17° 18° 17° 16° 17° 16° 16°
    Chance of rain 10% 50% 60% 10% 50% 50% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low
    Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 35
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E ENE ENE WNW W WSW W WNW WNW WNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 70% 65% 83% 74% 90% 70% 72% 66% 75% 74% 80% 75% 84% 74%
    Dew point 11°C 10°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 11°C 9°C 9°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Surprise Bay Rain Forecast


    Surprise Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    2024
    2025
    5
    6
    4
    5
    5
    5
    8
    7
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 1

    ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

  13. Past 5 Days

    Surprise Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    May 07
    5.9 °C 18.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    May 08
    9.5 °C 17.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 09
    13.0 °C 18.9 °C
    0.4 mm
    Friday
    May 10
    14.4 °C 16.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 11
    15.1 °C 17.4 °C
    2.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Surprise Bay minimum temp history (40.1152°S, 143.916°E, 20m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.9° 09/05/2024 Coldest this month 2.2° 02/05/2024
    Hottest on record 22.6 08/05/2002 Coldest on record 1.2 22/05/2010
    Hottest this year 35.6° 11/03/2024 Coldest this year 2.2° 02/05/2024
    Long term average 15.6° Long term average 9.4°
    Average this month 17.2° Average this month 8.2°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.9° 2007 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 7.8° 2006
    Surprise Bay rainfall history (40.1152°S, 143.916°E, 20m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.6mm 05/05/2024 Total This Month 1.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.6mm 19.1 days Wettest May on record 157.2mm 1975
    Driest on record 31.4mm 1996
  15. Year to Date

    Surprise Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 260.3mm 63.4 day(s)
    Total For 2024 84.2mm 43.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 175.0mm 57.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 10.8mm Mar20
    Lowest Temperature 2.2°C May 2
    Highest Temperature 35.6°C Mar11
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Surprise Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.1 21.3 20.3 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.3 13.7 14.7 16.0 17.6 19.1 17.0
    Mean Min (°C) 12.6 13.1 12.3 10.6 9.4 8.2 7.7 7.8 8.4 8.9 10.2 11.1 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 39.0 30.7 49.9 51.1 89.6 98.9 117.4 113.6 83.2 72.7 52.7 45.9 851.0
    Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.2 12.0 16.6 19.1 19.9 22.1 22.9 18.9 16.1 12.3 11.2 182.1