Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 10:00 AM EST on Saturday 27 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Sunday 28 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Sunday 28 April
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and Central West Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Saturday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Sea Elephant (39.8644°S, 144.0034°E, 39m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY11° 17° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:37am 7:05am 5:38pm 6:06pm NOW14.5° Feels Like: 10.6° Relative Humidity: 67% Dew: 8.5° Wind: W 19km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm Pressure: 1025.1hPa -
Today Weather
Sea ElephantNow14.2°cFeels Like:10.8°Wind:W 15km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:66%11°Min17°MaxToday in Sea ElephantCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 17.Tomorrow11°Min19°MaxPartly cloudy. Light winds becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 19. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 17.
Forecast for Sea Elephant (39.8644°S, 144.0034°E, 39m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 11° 11° 11° 9° 9° 9° 9° Maximum 17° 19° 16° 15° 16° 16° 15° Chance of rain 10% 60% 20% 50% 5% 10% 10% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 0
(km/h)19
(km/h)17
(km/h)27
(km/h)32
(km/h)30
(km/h)22
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)18
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction W WNW NNE NNW WSW SW SSW S SSE S SSE SE SE SE Relative humidity 84% 77% 70% 56% 63% 53% 66% 60% 65% 57% 70% 60% 70% 58% Dew point 11°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 7°C 6°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Sea Elephant Rain Forecast
Sea Elephant 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025756455587855105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Sea Elephant Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 237.1 °C 21.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.7 °C 14.8 °C 10.0 mmThursday
Apr 2511.8 °C 16.6 °C 1.0 mmFriday
Apr 2612.2 °C 16.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 279.8 °C 15.6 °C 2.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Sea Elephant minimum temp history (39.8644°S, 144.0034°E, 39m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.7° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 7.1° 23/04/2024 Hottest on record 31.1 01/04/2014 Coldest on record 0.0 25/04/1997 Hottest this year 35.6° 11/03/2024 Coldest this year 4.4° 30/01/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 10.6° Average this month 17.9° Average this month 11.5° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.3° 2015 Sea Elephant rainfall history (39.8644°S, 144.0034°E, 39m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.0mm 24/04/2024 Total This Month 43.6mm
15.0 daysLong Term Average 51.1mm 16.6 days Wettest April on record 102.2mm 2006 Driest on record 16.8mm 1988 -
Year to Date
Sea Elephant Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 170.7mm 44.3 day(s) Total For 2024 79.6mm 35.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 139.2mm 48.0 day(s) Wettest Day 10.8mm Mar20 Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Jan30 Highest Temperature 35.6°C Mar11 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Sea Elephant Climatology
Sea Elephant Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.1 21.3 20.3 17.8 15.6 14.0 13.3 13.7 14.7 16.0 17.6 19.1 17.0 Mean Min (°C) 12.6 13.1 12.3 10.6 9.4 8.2 7.7 7.8 8.4 8.9 10.2 11.1 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 39.0 30.7 49.9 51.1 89.6 98.9 117.4 113.6 83.2 72.7 52.7 45.9 851.0 Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.2 12.0 16.6 19.1 19.9 22.1 22.9 18.9 16.1 12.3 11.2 182.1