Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 04:05 PM EST on Friday 26 April 2024
for the period until midnight EST Friday 26 April 2024
Wind Warnings for Friday 26 April
Cancellation for the following areas:
Lower East Coast and South East Coast
The next Marine Wind Warning Summary will be issued when required.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Birchs Bay (43.1771°S, 147.2365°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW8° 18° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:28am EST 6:57am EST 5:19pm EST 5:48pm EST NOW13.4° Feels Like: 9.6° Relative Humidity: 60% Dew: 5.8° Wind: W 15km/h Gust: 24km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1021.6hPa -
Today Weather
Birchs BayNow12.5°cFeels Like:10.2°Wind:SW 7km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:66%8°Min18°MaxToday in Birchs BayCloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.Tomorrow8°Min18°MaxCloudy. Winds N/NW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far S, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 19.
Forecast for Birchs Bay (43.1771°S, 147.2365°E, 9m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 8° 9° 11° 7° 8° 8° 7° Maximum 18° 20° 15° 14° 15° 15° 15° Chance of rain 5% 60% 50% 80% 60% 60% 70% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)25
(km/h)30
(km/h)30
(km/h)33
(km/h)23
(km/h)26
(km/h)22
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction NNW WNW N NE W WSW WSW SW SW SW SW SW SW SSW Relative humidity 74% 62% 71% 58% 68% 54% 68% 67% 76% 71% 75% 71% 73% 68% Dew point 8°C 11°C 8°C 12°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 6°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Birchs Bay Rain Forecast
Birchs Bay 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966567665767105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Birchs Bay Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 229.4 °C 18.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 238.3 °C 20.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 249.2 °C 14.9 °C 6.2 mmThursday
Apr 2510.4 °C 14.5 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Apr 2611.4 °C 18.4 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Birchs Bay minimum temp history (43.1771°S, 147.2365°E, 9m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 22.6° 14/04/2024 Coldest this month 8.1° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 31.0° 09/03/2024 Coldest this year 8.1° 20/04/2024 Long term average 17.8° Long term average 10.4° Average this month 18.6° Average this month 10.5° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Birchs Bay rainfall history (43.1771°S, 147.2365°E, 9m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.2mm 03/04/2024 Total This Month 25.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 33.8mm 11.5 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 10.8mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Birchs Bay Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 134.8mm 38.9 day(s) Total For 2024 76.8mm 33.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 152.8mm 38.0 day(s) Wettest Day 12.6mm Jan18 Lowest Temperature 8.1°C Apr20 Highest Temperature 31.0°C Mar 9 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Birchs Bay Climatology
Birchs Bay Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 22.1 21.5 20.3 17.8 15.0 13.0 12.8 13.2 15.1 16.7 18.3 20.3 17.1 Mean Min (°C) 13.5 13.2 12.4 10.4 8.5 7.1 6.5 6.3 7.6 8.7 10.2 11.7 9.7 Mean Rain (mm) 32.6 27.8 40.6 33.8 51.5 51.5 41.9 50.5 37.7 56.9 44.7 42.9 522.7 Mean Rain Days 7.8 9.2 10.4 11.5 13.6 13.7 14.5 15.5 14.0 13.8 13.7 11.4 149.2