Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Updated Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania
Issued at 5:00 am EST on Friday 20 July 2018
for the period until midnight EST Saturday 21 July 2018.

Wind Warnings for Friday 20 July
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast,
Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island,
Upper East Coast and Central West Coast
Small Craft Alert for the following area:
Central Plateau Lakes

Wind Warnings for Saturday 21 July
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, Upper East
Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EST Friday.

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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local Waters Forecast at
http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind, wave and
weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers
for the South East forecast district.

Issued at 3:41 am EST on Friday 20 July 2018.

Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong
northwesterly winds shifting southwesterly are expected during Friday. Areas
likely to be affected include parts of the South East forecast district. There
is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Friday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania

Minor Flood Warning for the River Derwent and the River Ouse

Issued at 10:16 pm EST on Thursday 19 July 2018
Flood Warning Number: 4

Minor flooding is occurring along the lower Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam
and is likely to develop around Macquarie Plains overnight. Minor flooding may
extend to New Norfolk Friday morning. Minor flooding is easing along the River
Ouse.

Strong river rises are occurring in many River Derwent tributaries, including
the River Clyde, Nive, Florentine, Tyenna, Styx and Plenty rivers.

Strong and dangerous flows will remain a hazard in the Derwent catchment over
the next few days.

River Derwent above River Ouse:
Strong river rises are occurring in the upper River Derwent and its tributaries
during Thursday.

River Ouse:
Minor flooding is easing along the River Ouse.

The River Ouse at Ashton peaked at 2.40 metres around 01:00 pm Thursday 19 July
and is currently at 2.21 metres and falling slowly.

No water level measurements are available for the River Ouse at Ouse. Based on
water level information at River Ouse at 3B Weir (slightly upstream of Ouse),
it is likely that river levels have peaked around the minor flood level at Ouse
and are easing.

River Clyde:
Strong river rises are expected along the River Clyde during Thursday and
Friday.

The River Clyde at Bothwell is currently at 0.70 metres and rising.

River Derwent above Meadowbank Dam:
Strong river rises are expected in the middle reaches of the River Derwent
during Thursday.

Tyenna River:
Strong river rises are occurring in the Tyenna River during Thursday.

Styx River:
The Styx River at Bruces Bridge exceeded the minor flood level (2.0 m) early
Thursday morning.

River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam:
Minor flooding is occurring along the River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam.

The River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam is currently at 5.15 metres and rising.
River levels are expected to peak between 5.50 and 6.00 metres overnight
Thursday into Friday, remaining below the moderate flood level (6.10 m).

The River Derwent at Macquarie Plains is currently at 2.12 metres and rising.
The River Derwent at Macquarie Plains is likely to reach the minor flood level
(4.00 m) overnight Thursday into Friday. The river level is likely to peak
between 4.10 and 4.70 metres early Friday morning.

River Derwent around New Norfolk:
Minor flooding may occur along the River Derwent around New Norfolk.

The River Derwent at New Norfolk may reach the minor flood level (2.00 m)
Friday morning.

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 08:30 am EST on Friday 20 July 2018.

Latest River Heights:
River Derwent below Lake St Clair, 2.21, Steady, 08:30 PM THU 19/07/18
River Ouse at Ashton, 2.21, Falling, 09:00 PM THU 19/07/18
River Ouse at 3B Weir, 2.45, Falling, 08:30 PM THU 19/07/18
River Clyde at Bothwell, 0.70, Rising, 08:00 PM THU 19/07/18
River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam, 5.15, Rising, 09:00 PM THU 19/07/18
River Derwent at Macquarie Plains, 2.13, Rising, 09:46 PM THU 19/07/18
Tyenna River at Newbury, 1.07, Steady, 08:00 PM THU 19/07/18
Styx River at Bruces Bridge, 1.58, Steady, 09:41 PM THU 19/07/18
River Derwent at New Norfolk, 0.83, Rising, 09:42 PM THU 19/07/18

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 216. Warning, rainfall and
river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather
forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania

Minor Flood Warning for the Huon River

Issued at 3:49 pm EST on Thursday 19 July 2018
By Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart

Flood Warning Number: 3

Minor flooding is occurring along the Huon River from Tahune to Huonville.

Since 9am Thursday rainfall totals of less than 5 mm have been observed in the
Huon River catchment.

Precipitation totals of 5-10 mm are forecast for the rest of Thursday and
overnight in to Friday with snow down to 700 m. Renewed river rises are
possible with the forecast rain for the next 24 hours.

Strong and dangerous flows will be a hazard over the next couple of days.

Huon River above Tahune:
Minor flooding is occurring in the upper Huon River. Water levels around
Harrisons Opening peaked around 5.8 m Thursday morning and now falling.

Picton River:
Strong river rises are occurring in the Picton River during Thursday.

Huon River - Tahune to Judbury:
Minor flooding is occurring along the Huon River - Tahune to Judbury.

The Huon River at Tahune Bridge peaked at 4.85 metres around 10:00 am Thursday
19 July and is currently at 3.98 metres and falling. The Huon River at Tahune
Bridge is expected to fall below the minor flood level (4.00 m) Thursday
afternoon.

The Huon River at Judbury peaked at 4.60 metres around 01:00 pm Thursday and is
currently at 4.56 metres and falling. The Huon River at Judbury is expected to
fall below the minor flood level (4.00 m) Thursday afternoon.

Huon River around Huonville:
Minor flooding is occurring along the Huon River around Huonville.

The Huon River at Huonville is currently at 3.10 metres and near its peak. The
Huon River at Huonville is likely to peak near 3.20 metres Thursday afternoon.

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 09:00 am EST on Friday 20 July 2018.

Latest River Heights:
Huon River at Harrisons Opening, 4.15, Falling, 03:41 PM THU 19/07/18
Huon River at Tahune Bridge, 3.98, Falling, 03:43 PM THU 19/07/18
Huon River at Judbury, 4.56, Steady, 02:00 PM THU 19/07/18
Huon River at Huonville, 3.10, Rising, 02:46 PM THU 19/07/18

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 216. Warning, rainfall and
river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood. The latest weather
forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Tasmania
Note: This Flood Watch is a "heads up" for possible future flooding and is NOT
a Flood Warning.

Flood Watch for North West, North and North East catchments

Issued at 1:51 pm EST on Thursday 19 July 2018
By the Bureau of Meteorology, Hobart.

Flood Watch Number: 6

Strong river rises are occurring and minor flooding is possible from during
Thursday into Friday.

A cold front over Tasmania will move slowly away to the east today, bringing
rain, with heavy falls likely about the west and north during the morning,
easing to showers and contracting to the north and west in the evening.

In the past 24 hours to 9am Thursday, widespread rainfall totals of 15-40 mm
were observed across most of the State, with higher totals of 60-90 mm in
isolated and elevated areas.

Most catchments are wet from recent rainfall.

Rainfall totals of 20-40 mm are forecast for the next 24 hours across much of
the north, north west, north east, and the central plateau; with elevated areas
expected to receive higher totals.

A Moderate Flood Warning is current for the North Esk catchment. Minor Flood
Warnings are current for the Meander, Macquarie, South Esk, Derwent (including
Ouse) and Huon catchments.

Additional areas of minor flooding are possible with the forecast rainfall.
Further catchment specific warnings will be issued if and when required.

Strong river rises are occurring in many rivers as a result of overnight
rainfall. Localised flooding is possible in small creeks and low-lying areas
that receive heavy rainfall.

Catchments likely to be affected include:

East Coastal Rivers (north of Bicheno)

Ringarooma River

North Coastal Rivers

Tamar (Launceston)

Mersey River

Forth River

Northwest and Central Coastal Rivers

Arthur River

Flood warnings have been issued for the following catchments: North Esk River,
Meander River, Macquarie River, South Esk River, Huon River and the River
Derwent (including River Ouse)

Note: This Flood Watch is a "heads up" for possible future flooding and is NOT
a Flood Warning. The Bureau of Meteorology does not provide a flood warning
service for all of the catchments covered by this flood watch. For more
information on the Flood Watch Service:
http://www.bom.gov.au/water/floods/floodWarningServices.shtml

For the latest warnings see www.bom.gov.au/tas/warnings
For the latest rainfall and river level information see www.bom.gov.au/tas/flood

For the latest weather forecast see www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts

Flood Safety Advice:
FloodSafe advice is available at www.ses.tas.gov.au
Road closure information is available at www.police.tas.gov.au

For emergency assistance call the SES on telephone number 132 500.
For life threatening situations, call 000 immediately.

Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 10:00 am EST on Friday 20 July 2018.