Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for South East forecast district
Issued at 05:03 AM EST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
South East forecast district
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong westerly winds are expected during Monday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the South East forecast district. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST Monday.
Forecast
Apsley (42.4181°S, 147.1383°E, 285m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY9° 10° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:30am EST 6:59am EST 5:18pm EST 5:47pm EST NOW8.1° Feels Like: 1.6° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 3.2° Wind: W 26km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.6hPa -
Today Weather
ApsleyNow11.1°cFeels Like:5.7°Wind:NW 22km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:66%9°Min10°MaxToday in ApsleyCloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW early in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.Tomorrow4°Min10°MaxCloudy. Areas of morning frost in the E. Medium chance of showers in the W, slight chance elsewhere. Snow possible above 1000 metres. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h tending SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 2 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 12. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the W, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 900 metres. Winds W/NW 25 to 40 km/h tending W/SW early in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures between 6 and 11.
Forecast for Apsley (42.4181°S, 147.1383°E, 285m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 9° 4° 2° 2° 2° 3° 2° Maximum 10° 10° 12° 10° 11° 11° 11° Chance of rain 20% 20% 5% 10% 10% 30% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Low Low Low Low Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Slight Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 23
(km/h)22
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)7
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)4
(km/h)5
(km/h)Wind direction W WSW WSW WSW WNW WSW W SSW WNW S WNW SSE WNW S Relative humidity 72% 53% 74% 60% 79% 56% 79% 59% 83% 62% 83% 64% 82% 61% Dew point 4°C 0°C 4°C 3°C 3°C 4°C 2°C 2°C 3°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C 4°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Apsley Rain Forecast
Apsley 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025866656756746105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Apsley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Apr 244.7 °C 11.9 °C 6.4 mmThursday
Apr 255.5 °C 11.6 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Apr 265.7 °C 15.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 271.7 °C 16.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 285.2 °C 14.3 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Apsley minimum temp history (42.4181°S, 147.1383°E, 285m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 20.0° 14/04/2024 Coldest this month -0.3° 04/04/2024 Hottest on record 28.3 01/04/2005 Coldest on record -5.3 04/04/2004 Hottest this year 30.0° 22/02/2024 Coldest this year -0.9° 15/03/2024 Long term average 15.5° Long term average 5.3° Average this month 16.0° Average this month 4.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.7° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 3.1° 2006 Apsley rainfall history (42.4181°S, 147.1383°E, 285m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 6.4mm 24/04/2024 Total This Month 18.0mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 41.8mm 12.5 days Wettest April on record 108.2mm 2011 Driest on record 11.2mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Apsley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 178.3mm 43.0 day(s) Total For 2024 102.2mm 30.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 209.6mm 48.0 day(s) Wettest Day 37.4mm Jan 8 Lowest Temperature -0.9°C Mar15 Highest Temperature 30.0°C Feb22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Apsley Climatology
Apsley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 21.9 21.2 19.3 15.5 12.3 10.0 9.6 10.6 12.6 14.8 17.4 19.6 15.4 Mean Min (°C) 9.1 8.9 7.5 5.3 3.5 2.1 1.5 1.9 3.2 4.4 6.2 7.5 5.1 Mean Rain (mm) 48.8 39.8 47.9 41.8 47.6 66.2 38.5 62.8 56.6 63.2 60.2 52.3 630.0 Mean Rain Days 9.7 9.4 11.4 12.5 15.3 17.6 18.2 17.8 15.2 15.0 13.1 12.0 168.0