Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
South Australia
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Mount Lofty Ranges, Flinders, Mid North, Murraylands and Upper South East forecast districts
Issued at 10:50 PM CST on Monday 29 April 2024
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mount Lofty Ranges, Flinders, Mid North, Murraylands and Upper South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures and southeasterly winds are expected during Monday night and Tuesday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the Mount Lofty Ranges, Flinders, Mid North, Murraylands and Upper South East forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am CST Tuesday.
Forecast
Aberfoyle Park (35.0763°S, 138.5937°E, 185m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW10° 17° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:26am CST 6:52am CST 5:34pm CST 6:00pm CST NOW12.6° Feels Like: 6.4° Relative Humidity: 67% Dew: 6.6° Wind: SE 28km/h Gust: 33km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Aberfoyle ParkNow9.2°cFeels Like:4.3°Wind:SE 20km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:80%10°Min17°MaxToday in Aberfoyle ParkPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the Fleurieu Peninsula, most likely in the morning. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.Tomorrow10°Min17°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower about the Fleurieu Peninsula, most likely in the morning. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
Forecast for Aberfoyle Park (35.0763°S, 138.5937°E, 185m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 10° 9° 10° 11° 11° 10° 11° Maximum 17° 18° 20° 21° 21° 21° 20° Chance of rain 10% 5% 20% 5% 5% 10% 20% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)17
(km/h)9
(km/h)14
(km/h)7
(km/h)11
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)Wind direction ESE SSE SE SSE ESE SE ESE SSE ESE SSW ESE SSW E WSW Relative humidity 57% 46% 69% 51% 61% 47% 58% 44% 59% 48% 57% 46% 57% 47% Dew point 5°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 9°C 8°C 8°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Aberfoyle Park Rain Forecast
Aberfoyle Park 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025447556687687105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Aberfoyle Park Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Thursday
Apr 258.8 °C 19.1 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Apr 2610.3 °C 16.8 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Apr 279.1 °C 19.0 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Apr 2810.6 °C 23.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 2914.4 °C 18.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Aberfoyle Park minimum temp history (35.0763°S, 138.5937°E, 185m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.3° 22/04/2024 Coldest this month 8.0° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.4 02/04/2005 Coldest on record 5.9 20/04/2015 Hottest this year 40.0° 23/01/2024 Coldest this year 8.0° 20/04/2024 Long term average 22.4° Long term average 13.7° Average this month 20.3° Average this month 11.4° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.6° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 11.7° 2015 Aberfoyle Park rainfall history (35.0763°S, 138.5937°E, 185m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 4.6mm 09/04/2024 Total This Month 9.6mm
5.0 daysLong Term Average 33.5mm 8.4 days Wettest April on record 70.2mm 2009 Driest on record 3.2mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Aberfoyle Park Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 107.5mm 22.4 day(s) Total For 2024 48.6mm 15.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 98.4mm 26.0 day(s) Wettest Day 15.6mm Jan26 Lowest Temperature 8.0°C Apr20 Highest Temperature 40.0°C Jan23 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Aberfoyle Park Climatology
Aberfoyle Park Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.8 27.7 25.8 22.4 18.3 15.6 14.9 15.9 18.6 21.4 24.6 26.5 21.6 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 16.8 15.7 13.7 11.4 9.3 8.7 8.9 10.3 11.6 13.9 15.4 12.7 Mean Rain (mm) 17.6 38.4 18.0 33.5 55.5 65.3 60.6 54.6 43.7 32.0 24.7 22.4 463.6 Mean Rain Days 4.6 3.8 5.6 8.4 14.2 15.7 17.0 16.3 13.4 9.4 7.9 7.5 123.8