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Forecast

Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 24° 29°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:38am EST 6:00am EST 6:09pm EST 6:31pm EST
    NOW
    28.7° Feels Like: 29.6°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 23.1°
    Wind: E 22km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Mary
    Now
    32.6°c
    Feels Like:
    31.8°
    Wind:
    E 20km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    44%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    24°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Lake Mary
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Clearing shower
    24°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lake Mary

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.

    Forecast for Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Showers
    Minimum 24° 24° 24° 23° 23° 24° 24°
    Maximum 29° 29° 29° 28° 28° 28° 29°
    Chance of rain 40% 50% 70% 60% 60% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme High High High
    Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE E
    Relative humidity 79% 72% 75% 68% 80% 77% 78% 69% 76% 71% 74% 70% 76% 75%
    Dew point 23°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 24°C 24°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 23°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2024
    2025
    7
    7
    7
    8
    8
    7
    7
    5
    4
    9
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 5

    ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.

  11. Popup - Daily historical

  12. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Mary Rain Forecast


    Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Mary Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Mar 15
    24.9 °C 29.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 16
    23.6 °C 28.8 °C
    0.6 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 17
    23.4 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Mar 18
    23.8 °C 29.2 °C
    0.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 19
    24.1 °C 29.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Mary minimum temp history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.8° 03/03/2024 Coldest this month 22.4° 13/03/2024
    Hottest on record 39.1 12/03/2007 Coldest on record 10.4 31/03/1994
    Hottest this year 32.7° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 21.3° 01/01/2024
    Long term average 28.6° Long term average 22.6°
    Average this month 29.5° Average this month 23.6°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.7° 2001 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 20.7° 2008
    Lake Mary rainfall history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 98.8mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 140.4mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 170.3mm 13.5 days Wettest March on record 618.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 10.0mm 1996
  15. Year to Date

    Lake Mary Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 470.1mm 41.0 day(s)
    Total For 2024 309.4mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2023 598.0mm 35.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 98.8mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 21.3°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 32.7°C Jan29
  16. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lake Mary Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.3 28.6 26.7 24.2 22.0 21.5 22.3 24.4 26.2 27.6 28.8 25.9
    Mean Min (°C) 24.0 23.7 22.6 19.8 16.0 13.6 12.1 12.9 15.9 19.3 21.5 22.9 18.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 135.4 164.4 170.3 70.4 71.4 49.4 48.0 32.0 34.0 54.3 74.4 114.4 1017.2
    Mean Rain Days 13.7 13.8 13.5 11.7 10.3 11.7 10.1 8.3 6.1 6.7 7.8 10.9 124.7