Forecast
Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY24° 29° mostly cloudy Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:38am EST 6:00am EST 6:09pm EST 6:31pm EST NOW28.7° Feels Like: 29.6° Relative Humidity: 71% Dew: 23.1° Wind: E 22km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.1hPa -
Today Weather
Lake MaryNow32.6°cFeels Like:31.8°Wind:E 20km/hGusts:28km/hHumidity:44%24°Min29°MaxToday in Lake MaryPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.Tomorrow24°Min29°MaxPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h early in the morning then tending E 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Lake Mary
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 30s.
Forecast for Lake Mary (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 24° 24° 24° 23° 23° 24° 24° Maximum 29° 29° 29° 28° 28° 28° 29° Chance of rain 40% 50% 70% 60% 60% 70% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)21
(km/h)17
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)28
(km/h)24
(km/h)25
(km/h)21
(km/h)22
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)18
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE SE ESE ESE ESE ESE E Relative humidity 79% 72% 75% 68% 80% 77% 78% 69% 76% 71% 74% 70% 76% 75% Dew point 23°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 24°C 24°C 22°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 23°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Lake Mary Rain Forecast
Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Lake Mary Rain Forecast
Lake Mary 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025777887754967105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Lake Mary Rain Forecast
Lake Mary 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Lake Mary Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1524.9 °C 29.4 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1623.6 °C 28.8 °C 0.6 mmSunday
Mar 1723.4 °C 27.8 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 1823.8 °C 29.2 °C 0.4 mmTuesday
Mar 1924.1 °C 29.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Lake Mary minimum temp history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.8° 03/03/2024 Coldest this month 22.4° 13/03/2024 Hottest on record 39.1 12/03/2007 Coldest on record 10.4 31/03/1994 Hottest this year 32.7° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 21.3° 01/01/2024 Long term average 28.6° Long term average 22.6° Average this month 29.5° Average this month 23.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.7° 2001 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 20.7° 2008 Lake Mary rainfall history (23.1144°S, 150.585°E, 6m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 98.8mm 05/03/2024 Total This Month 140.4mm
9.0 daysLong Term Average 170.3mm 13.5 days Wettest March on record 618.6mm 2017 Driest on record 10.0mm 1996 -
Year to Date
Lake Mary Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 470.1mm 41.0 day(s) Total For 2024 309.4mm 34.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 598.0mm 35.0 day(s) Wettest Day 98.8mm Mar 5 Lowest Temperature 21.3°C Jan 1 Highest Temperature 32.7°C Jan29 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Lake Mary Climatology
Lake Mary Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.3 28.6 26.7 24.2 22.0 21.5 22.3 24.4 26.2 27.6 28.8 25.9 Mean Min (°C) 24.0 23.7 22.6 19.8 16.0 13.6 12.1 12.9 15.9 19.3 21.5 22.9 18.6 Mean Rain (mm) 135.4 164.4 170.3 70.4 71.4 49.4 48.0 32.0 34.0 54.3 74.4 114.4 1017.2 Mean Rain Days 13.7 13.8 13.5 11.7 10.3 11.7 10.1 8.3 6.1 6.7 7.8 10.9 124.7