Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Queensland
Initial Minor Flood Warning For The Balonne River
Issued at 12:27 PM EST on Friday 26 April 2024
Flood Warning Number: 1
MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT SURAT LATE THIS WEEKEND, WITH A MINOR PEAK DURING MONDAY
Rainfall of 40-85 mm recorded earlier this week in the lower reaches of the Condamine River has resulted in river rises through to Warkon on the Balonne River on Friday.
No significant rainfall is forecast for the Balonne River for the next few days.
Balonne River to Surat:
River rises are occurring along the upper reaches of the Balonne River at Warkon on Friday.
The Balonne River at Warkon was at 4.95 metres on Thursday (April 25) and rising slowly, below the minor flood level.
The Balonne River at Warkon is expected to remain below the minor flood level (7.00 m) during Saturday as a small flood peak passes through the area.
There are currently no observations for the Balonne River at Surat (manual gauge). However based on the nearby automatic gauge, the river level at Surat is about 3.3 metres and rising on Friday.
The Balonne River at Surat is likely to exceed the minor flood level (5.00 m) late this weekend, and may peak near 5.40 metres during Monday.
Flood Safety Advice:
Remember: If it's flooded, forget it. For flood emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500. For life threatening emergencies, call Triple Zero (000) immediately.}
Current emergency information is available at www.qld.gov.au/alerts
Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 am EST on Monday 29 April 2024.
Latest River Heights:
Condamine R at Brigalow Br TM,3.28,Falling,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Chinchilla Weir TW TM,2.72,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Charleys Ck at Burncluith Bridge Alert,0.985,Falling,09:30 AM FRI 26/04/24
Charleys Creek at Chinchilla Alert,2.41,Falling,11:49 AM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Condamine Township Alert,3.20,Falling,12:20 PM FRI 26/04/24
Condamine R at Cotswold TM,6.43,Falling,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Dogwood Ck at Miles Alert,3.54,Steady,11:33 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Warkon,4.95,Steady,04:30 PM THU 25/04/24
Bungil Ck at Tabers TM,0.69,Steady,08:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bungil Ck at Tindarra TM,0.00,Steady,09:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bungil Ck at Roma TM,0.41,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Surat (manual),Not Available,Not Available,Not Available
Balonne R at Weribone TM,2.44,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Warroo TM,5.94,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Maranoa R at Forest Vale TM,0.27,Falling,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Maranoa R at Old Cashmere TM,1.57,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Beardmore Dam TM,0.00,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Balonne R at Jack Taylor Weir TM,0.03,Steady,12:00 PM FRI 26/04/24
Culgoa R at Whyenbah TM,2.58,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Culgoa R at Woolerbilla TM,2.73,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Narran R at Dirranbandi-Hebel Rd TM,2.15,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
Bokhara R at Hebel TM,0.87,Steady,11:00 AM FRI 26/04/24
This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 210. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood. The latest weather forecast is available at www.bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts.
Forecast
Carters Ridge (26.4493°S, 152.7663°E, 85m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 23° late shower Chance of rain: 70% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:47am EST 6:11am EST 5:21pm EST 5:45pm EST NOW16.8° Feels Like: 17.4° Relative Humidity: 79% Dew: 13.1° Wind: N 2km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm Pressure: 1022.2hPa -
Today Weather
Carters RidgeNow17.1°cFeels Like:16.9°Wind:S 9km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:87%15°Min23°MaxToday in Carters RidgePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.Tomorrow17°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, slight chance elsewhere. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower along the coastal fringe, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to high 20s.
Forecast for Carters Ridge (26.4493°S, 152.7663°E, 85m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 15° 17° 17° 16° 16° 15° 15° Maximum 23° 24° 25° 25° 24° 23° 24° Chance of rain 70% 70% 50% 50% 50% 80% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 8
(km/h)11
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(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SSE S SE S SE S SE SSW SSE S SSE S SSE Relative humidity 70% 72% 81% 71% 76% 66% 74% 65% 72% 60% 73% 69% 78% 70% Dew point 15°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Carters Ridge Rain Forecast
Carters Ridge 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025987766556768105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Carters Ridge Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 2217.4 °C 24.9 °C 61.8 mmTuesday
Apr 2315.9 °C - 1.8 mmWednesday
Apr 2416.9 °C 26.8 °C 7.8 mmThursday
Apr 2514.8 °C 27.8 °C 0.2 mmFriday
Apr 2618.3 °C 22.2 °C 0.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Carters Ridge minimum temp history (26.4493°S, 152.7663°E, 85m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 30.3° 03/04/2024 Coldest this month 14.5° 11/04/2024 Hottest on record 29.4 28/04/2008 Coldest on record 8.4 30/04/2008 Hottest this year 35.3° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 14.5° 11/04/2024 Long term average 26.3° Long term average 16.8° Average this month 26.7° Average this month 17.7° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.3° 2008 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 2008 Carters Ridge rainfall history (26.4493°S, 152.7663°E, 85m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 61.8mm 22/04/2024 Total This Month 131.8mm
17.0 daysLong Term Average 150.0mm 9.6 days Wettest April on record 42.4mm 2008 Driest on record 26.0mm 2017 -
Year to Date
Carters Ridge Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 885.1mm 54.1 day(s) Total For 2024 1095.5mm 75.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 323.8mm 39.0 day(s) Wettest Day 139.6mm Mar 5 Lowest Temperature 14.5°C Apr11 Highest Temperature 35.3°C Jan22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Carters Ridge Climatology
Carters Ridge Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.4 29.1 28.1 26.3 23.8 21.8 21.6 23.3 25.3 26.5 28.3 29.3 26.0 Mean Min (°C) 20.6 20.6 19.8 16.8 13.6 11.7 10.6 10.7 13.4 15.5 17.7 19.5 15.8 Mean Rain (mm) 206.1 198.8 330.2 150.0 119.7 109.8 64.2 30.9 46.8 88.8 89.1 136.6 1665.9 Mean Rain Days 13.5 13.8 17.2 9.6 10.4 10.0 9.1 5.8 7.1 8.9 8.9 10.1 129.1