Forecast
The Risk (28.4598°S, 152.9451°E, 101m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY15° 23° showers increasing Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:47am EST 6:11am EST 5:17pm EST 5:41pm EST NOW16.5° Feels Like: 15.2° Relative Humidity: 84% Dew: 13.8° Wind: SW 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1023.0hPa -
Today Weather
The RiskNow12.3°cFeels Like:13.0°Wind:N 0km/hGusts:0km/hHumidity:99%15°Min23°MaxToday in The RiskPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.Tomorrow16°Min24°MaxPartly cloudy. The chance of fog inland in the early morning. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for The Risk
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely from the late morning. Light winds becoming S/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
Forecast for The Risk (28.4598°S, 152.9451°E, 101m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 15° 16° 15° 15° 15° 15° 14° Maximum 23° 24° 25° 26° 24° 23° 22° Chance of rain 80% 80% 60% 60% 60% 60% 70% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index High High High High High High Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 10
(km/h)11
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)6
(km/h)7
(km/h)4
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction SW S SSW SSE SW SE SW SE SW SSW SSW S SSW S Relative humidity 80% 78% 83% 79% 83% 73% 79% 67% 79% 74% 79% 79% 81% 77% Dew point 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 18°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
The Risk Rain Forecast
The Risk 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025986766674758105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
The Risk Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 2217.0 °C 23.8 °C 36.5 mmTuesday
Apr 2316.6 °C 25.1 °C 6.5 mmWednesday
Apr 2414.8 °C 27.0 °C 3.5 mmThursday
Apr 2514.0 °C 25.8 °C -Friday
Apr 2616.9 °C - -Legend -
Almanac
Almanac
The Risk minimum temp history (28.4598°S, 152.9451°E, 101m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 31.5° 03/04/2024 Coldest this month 14.0° 20/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.4 19/04/1973 Coldest on record 6.6 30/04/1982 Hottest this year 36.2° 22/01/2024 Coldest this year 14.0° 25/04/2024 Long term average 26.2° Long term average 15.6° Average this month 26.7° Average this month 15.6° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 1986 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1982 The Risk rainfall history (28.4598°S, 152.9451°E, 101m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 45.0mm 04/04/2024 Total This Month 135.0mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 148.0mm 14.0 days Wettest April on record 752.4mm 1989 Driest on record 14.2mm 1997 -
Year to Date
The Risk Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 812.2mm 61.3 day(s) Total For 2024 999.4mm 52.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 391.4mm 37.0 day(s) Wettest Day 166.0mm Jan17 Lowest Temperature 14.0°C Apr25 Highest Temperature 36.2°C Jan22 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
The Risk Climatology
The Risk Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.6 29.0 28.1 26.2 23.5 21.3 21.1 22.5 25.1 26.5 27.7 29.1 25.8 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.6 18.4 15.6 12.6 9.8 8.5 8.8 11.5 14.2 16.6 18.6 14.5 Mean Rain (mm) 212.8 232.5 218.9 148.0 131.2 103.0 64.0 51.2 42.1 100.9 118.3 175.5 1596.9 Mean Rain Days 14.6 15.9 16.8 14.0 12.6 10.8 8.6 7.5 7.7 10.6 12.4 13.6 145.4