Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Hazardous Surf Warning for New South Wales
Issued at 04:43 AM EST on Saturday 11 May 2024
Weather Situation
Surf and swell conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, boating, and swimming in the following areas.
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
Warnings for Sunday 12 May
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast and Sydney Coast
NSW Police Force, Marine Area Command advise that:
People should consider staying out of the water and avoid walking near surf-exposed areas.
Rock fishers should avoid coastal rock platforms exposed to the ocean and seek a safe location that is sheltered from the surf.
Boaters planning to cross shallow water and ocean bars should consider changing or delaying their voyage.
Boaters already on the water should carry the appropriate safety equipment and wear a lifejacket.
Boaters should remember to log on with their local Marine Rescue radio base, via VHF Radio or the Marine Rescue APP, and consider their safety management plan.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday.
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Check the Coastal Waters Forecast for information
on wind, wave and weather conditions for
these areas at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/ or on marine
radio.
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Forecast
Manly Vale (33.784°S, 151.2673°E, 32m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY14° 19° heavy showers Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 20-40mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:11am EST 6:37am EST 5:05pm EST 5:32pm EST NOW16.3° Feels Like: 17.3° Relative Humidity: 93% Dew: 15.2° Wind: N 4km/h Gust: 6km/h Rainfall since 9am: 4.4mm Pressure: 1024.9hPa -
Today Weather
Manly ValeNow15.7°cFeels Like:15.8°Wind:NE 7km/hGusts:11km/hHumidity:95%14°Min19°MaxToday in Manly ValeCloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, most likely along the coastal fringe and possibly severe. Light winds.Tomorrow13°Min21°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the evening. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of rain. The chance of a thunderstorm, most likely along the coastal fringe and possibly severe. Light winds.
Forecast for Manly Vale (33.784°S, 151.2673°E, 32m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 14° 13° 15° 12° 13° 14° 14° Maximum 19° 21° 22° 22° 23° 23° 23° Chance of rain 90% 70% 60% 60% 40% 30% 40% Likely amount 20-40mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 4
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)11
(km/h)24
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)Wind direction ENE ENE WSW SSW SW SSW WSW SSW WSW E WNW ESE WSW SE Relative humidity 96% 90% 95% 76% 88% 72% 83% 66% 89% 67% 90% 68% 88% 69% Dew point 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Manly Vale Rain Forecast
Manly Vale 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202576787679485105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Manly Vale Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
May 0713.8 °C 23.3 °C 3.0 mmWednesday
May 0813.6 °C 21.3 °C 8.8 mmThursday
May 0914.6 °C 20.1 °C 8.4 mmFriday
May 1014.9 °C 19.8 °C 5.2 mmSaturday
May 1115.6 °C 16.8 °C 21.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Manly Vale minimum temp history (33.784°S, 151.2673°E, 32m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.3° 07/05/2024 Coldest this month 12.9° 01/05/2024 Hottest on record Coldest on record Hottest this year 38.5° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 11.5° 26/04/2024 Long term average 19.6° Long term average 11.6° Average this month 20.1° Average this month 14.0° Hottest - On Record Avg. max. temp. - - Coldest - on record Avg. min. temp. - - Manly Vale rainfall history (33.784°S, 151.2673°E, 32m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 31.2mm 06/05/2024 Total This Month 149.4mm
10.0 daysLong Term Average 117.3mm 13.0 days Wettest - on record - - Driest on record 3.0mm 2008 -
Year to Date
Manly Vale Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 603.0mm 64.4 day(s) Total For 2024 610.6mm 54.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 612.2mm 62.0 day(s) Wettest Day 111.0mm Apr 5 Lowest Temperature 11.5°C Apr26 Highest Temperature 38.5°C Jan26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Manly Vale Climatology
Manly Vale Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.9 24.8 22.5 19.6 17.0 16.5 17.9 20.1 22.2 23.7 25.3 21.8 Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.9 17.6 14.7 11.6 9.3 8.1 9.0 11.2 13.7 15.7 17.6 13.8 Mean Rain (mm) 102.4 121.2 135.1 127.0 117.3 131.7 97.5 80.1 67.6 77.8 84.1 77.8 1221.2 Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.6 13.8 12.8 13.0 12.7 11.2 10.3 10.6 11.7 11.7 11.6 144.2