Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Hazardous Surf Warning for New South Wales
Issued at 05:19 AM EST on Saturday 04 May 2024
Weather Situation
Surf and swell conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, boating, and swimming in the following areas.
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Byron Coast, Coffs Coast, Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Eden Coast,Batemans Coast
Warnings for Sunday 05 May
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Byron Coast
NSW Police Force, Marine Area Command advise that:
People should consider staying out of the water and avoid walking near surf-exposed areas.
Rock fishers should avoid coastal rock platforms exposed to the ocean and seek a safe location that is sheltered from the surf.
Boaters planning to cross shallow water and ocean bars should consider changing or delaying their voyage.
Boaters already on the water should carry the appropriate safety equipment and wear a lifejacket.
Boaters should remember to log on with their local Marine Rescue radio base, via VHF Radio or the Marine Rescue APP, and consider their safety management plan.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday.
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Check the Coastal Waters Forecast for information
on wind, wave and weather conditions for
these areas at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/ or on marine
radio.
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Forecast
Fortis Creek (29.5383°S, 152.8916°E, 49m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY13° 23° showers increasing Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:54am EST 6:19am EST 5:11pm EST 5:36pm EST NOW19.2° Feels Like: 19.0° Relative Humidity: 81% Dew: 15.9° Wind: E 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Fortis CreekNow18.1°cFeels Like:18.9°Wind:E 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:91%13°Min23°MaxToday in Fortis CreekPartly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.Tomorrow13°Min22°MaxCloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
Forecast for Fortis Creek (29.5383°S, 152.8916°E, 49m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 13° 13° 12° 15° 13° 13° 13° Maximum 23° 22° 24° 22° 23° 24° 24° Chance of rain 80% 80% 70% 60% 60% 60% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 11
(km/h)15
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)9
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)18
(km/h)11
(km/h)15
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SSW SE WSW ESE SW S S S S SSE SSW SSE SSW SSE Relative humidity 83% 91% 92% 77% 84% 70% 88% 71% 79% 66% 81% 66% 84% 67% Dew point 16°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 17°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Fortis Creek Rain Forecast
Fortis Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar2024202586766674758105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued May 1
ENSO status: Inactive. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Neutral, favouring positive in winter. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an inactive phase. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are at record levels in the western Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. A burst of tropical activity expected in mid-May could make-or-break this event, as tropical activity in certainlocations could either strengthen or hinder the development of a positive IOD. If this tropical activity is favourable for a positive IOD, significant upwelling near Indonesia may occur as soon as late-May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral but is expected to favour a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east, while cooling temperatures. A positive SAM reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing slightly below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Fortis Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Tuesday
Apr 3013.3 °C 25.5 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
May 0114.1 °C 23.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
May 0213.8 °C 23.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
May 0314.8 °C 20.5 °C 0.6 mmSaturday
May 0414.0 °C 21.2 °C 10.6 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Fortis Creek minimum temp history (29.5383°S, 152.8916°E, 49m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 23.9° 01/05/2024 Coldest this month 13.8° 02/05/2024 Hottest on record 30.4 17/05/2016 Coldest on record 1.8 30/05/2004 Hottest this year 38.2° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 13.0° 19/04/2024 Long term average 23.2° Long term average 11.1° Average this month 22.2° Average this month 14.2° Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.6° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 2008 Fortis Creek rainfall history (29.5383°S, 152.8916°E, 49m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 10.6mm 04/05/2024 Total This Month 11.2mm
2.0 daysLong Term Average 73.5mm 10.3 days Wettest May on record 516.9mm 1921 Driest on record 0.0mm 1957 -
Year to Date
Fortis Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To May 559.9mm 60.5 day(s) Total For 2024 499.8mm 61.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 231.4mm 57.0 day(s) Wettest Day 97.6mm Jan16 Lowest Temperature 13.0°C Apr19 Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan26 -
Popup - Radar
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Fortis Creek Climatology
Fortis Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.5 30.0 28.2 25.8 23.2 20.8 20.8 22.7 25.5 27.3 28.8 29.8 26.0 Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.5 18.2 15.0 11.1 8.7 7.5 8.0 11.2 14.0 16.5 18.3 13.9 Mean Rain (mm) 146.8 127.0 127.0 85.6 73.5 71.4 40.0 37.6 39.6 68.5 86.9 110.7 1007.8 Mean Rain Days 12.6 11.9 15.0 10.7 10.3 9.7 7.8 6.1 6.5 8.6 9.4 12.1 121.6