Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Hazardous Surf Warning for New South Wales
Issued at 04:44 PM EST on Friday 26 April 2024
Weather Situation
Surf and swell conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as rock fishing, boating, and swimming in the following areas.
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast and Sydney Coast
Warnings for Saturday 27 April
Hazardous Surf Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast and Hunter Coast
NSW Police Force, Marine Area Command advise that:
People should consider staying out of the water and avoid walking near surf-exposed areas.
Rock fishers should avoid coastal rock platforms exposed to the ocean and seek a safe location that is sheltered from the surf.
Boaters planning to cross shallow water and ocean bars should consider changing or delaying their voyage.
Boaters already on the water should carry the appropriate safety equipment and wear a lifejacket.
Boaters should remember to log on with their local Marine Rescue radio base, via VHF Radio or the Marine Rescue APP, and consider their safety management plan.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Saturday.
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Check the Coastal Waters Forecast for information
on wind, wave and weather conditions for
these areas at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/ or on marine
radio.
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Forecast
Ellerston (31.8217°S, 151.3034°E, 502m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW9° 20° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 10% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:00am EST 6:26am EST 5:23pm EST 5:48pm EST NOW9.9° Feels Like: 5.8° Relative Humidity: 95% Dew: 9.1° Wind: SE 20km/h Gust: 22km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1024.9hPa -
Today Weather
EllerstonNow11.6°cFeels Like:10.3°Wind:SE 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:91%9°Min20°MaxToday in EllerstonPartly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.Tomorrow9°Min20°MaxThe chance of morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of morning fog. Medium chance of showers along the coastal fringe, most likely in the morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 23.
Forecast for Ellerston (31.8217°S, 151.3034°E, 502m AMSL) Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Summary Minimum 9° 9° 11° 12° 10° 9° 9° Maximum 20° 21° 21° 18° 15° 15° 16° Chance of rain 10% 5% 40% 60% 30% 70% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating No Rating - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)21
(km/h)27
(km/h)26
(km/h)26
(km/h)25
(km/h)23
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction SSE S NE SW NNW W S S S S S S SSE S Relative humidity 83% 54% 80% 53% 73% 51% 84% 77% 92% 74% 93% 74% 93% 71% Dew point 11°C 9°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Ellerston Rain Forecast
Ellerston 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025966776589456105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 23
ENSO status: Inactive/Neutral. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming strongly positive. SAM status: Leading to neutral and returning positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is presently in an inactive phase, for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling continues over the eastern Pacific Ocean as sea surface temperatures approach near-normal conditions. Warmer than normal waters are present across the western Pacific Ocean, including the Coral Sea with added moisture and humidity to influence weather conditions in the eastern regions of Australia. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop this coming winter season. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase, although record-high ocean temperatures across the northwest Indian Ocean have the IOD index just tipping into a positivethreshold value. Persistent southeasterly winds over the eastern Indian Ocean during the previous month are forecast to ease with below-average wind speeds to develop off northwest Australia and the eastern Indian Ocean during the winter season. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into a strong positive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly following May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, thus reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is currently positive (mid-April) with the outlook favouring a neutral phase forecast in May and then the likelihood of returning to a positive phase during winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces the impact of cold fronts and decreases the rainfall over southernAustralia. Rainfall outlooks are showing above-average rainfall over winter for WA and central and northern SA, and eastern regions of QLD and NSW. Conversely, below-average rainfall is expected for western TAS, southern SA, and most of VIC.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Ellerston Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Apr 227.6 °C 22.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 236.5 °C 25.0 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 2411.9 °C 24.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 2511.3 °C 19.4 °C -Friday
Apr 265.9 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Ellerston minimum temp history (31.8217°S, 151.3034°E, 502m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 27.9° 01/04/2024 Coldest this month 6.8° 26/04/2024 Hottest on record 29.6 11/04/2005 Coldest on record 1.6 29/04/2008 Hottest this year 34.6° 29/01/2024 Coldest this year 6.8° 26/04/2024 Long term average 20.8° Long term average 11.2° Average this month 20.5° Average this month 11.8° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 9.2° 2008 Ellerston rainfall history (31.8217°S, 151.3034°E, 502m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 55.8mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 127.2mm
11.0 daysLong Term Average 32.4mm 8.8 days Wettest April on record 93.8mm 2015 Driest on record 0.8mm 2019 -
Year to Date
Ellerston Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 248.7mm 36.6 day(s) Total For 2024 393.2mm 46.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 189.6mm 41.0 day(s) Wettest Day 76.2mm Jan30 Lowest Temperature 6.8°C Apr26 Highest Temperature 34.6°C Jan29 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Ellerston Climatology
Ellerston Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.5 27.2 24.5 20.8 16.7 13.0 12.6 14.7 18.4 21.7 24.3 26.6 20.7 Mean Min (°C) 16.6 15.8 14.3 11.2 8.1 5.9 5.0 5.8 8.5 11.0 13.0 14.8 10.8 Mean Rain (mm) 69.6 68.3 78.4 32.4 34.7 66.3 47.5 42.3 46.2 55.7 86.8 83.6 718.2 Mean Rain Days 8.8 8.8 10.2 8.8 9.0 13.4 11.2 8.5 7.1 9.0 10.0 10.2 114.6