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Forecast

Wurarga (28.4128°S, 116.2851°E, 356m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 12° 29°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:42am WST 6:06am WST 6:15pm WST 6:38pm WST
    NOW
    16.4° Feels Like: 11.8°
    Relative Humidity: 37%
    Dew: 1.7°
    Wind: SE 15km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Wurarga
    Now
    12.5°c
    Feels Like:
    10.0°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    69%
    Sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Wurarga
    Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the E in the evening. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 40 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    12°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the far SW coast. The chance of a thunderstorm in the SE in the early morning. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h before dawn then increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny day. The chance of a thunderstorm in the E in the evening. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 40 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 34.

    Forecast for Wurarga (28.4128°S, 116.2851°E, 356m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 12° 10° 11°
    Maximum 29° 29° 22° 22° 27° 25° 24°
    Chance of rain 5% 80% 80% 5% 60% 50% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    31
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE NNW W WNW W WSW WSW ENE NW NNW WNW NW WNW
    Relative humidity 49% 25% 38% 30% 71% 47% 63% 35% 58% 26% 65% 43% 70% 34%
    Dew point 7°C 7°C 5°C 9°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 6°C 11°C 11°C 11°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Wurarga Rain Forecast


    Wurarga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Wurarga Rain Forecast


    Wurarga 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2021
    2022
    5
    8
    7
    8
    6
    8
    7
    7
    8
    5
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 16

    ENSO status: Neutral, however five of seven models suggest La Niña thresholds may be met again between October and January. IOD status: Neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, there are growing signs that La Niña could redevelop in the Pacific Ocean later this year, which has prompted the US Climate Prediction Centre to increase its prediction of La Niña occurring this year to 70-80 percent. However their thresholds are lower than the Bureau of Meteorology's. Five of seven models forecast temperatures may reach or exceed La Niña thresholds between October and January. Three of seven predicted an established event, which requires La Nina thresholds to be met for three months. La Niña typically brings above average rainfall in northern and eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral, returning from negative values in the recent weeks. Three of five models areforecasting the IOD event will officially end in October, with all models ending the event in December. A negative IOD generates above average rain to southern and eastern Australia. As such, average to above average rainfall is predicted across much of the country this winter and spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Wurarga Rain Forecast


    Wurarga 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 October to 11 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 22 October to 26 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 October to 9 October, and 14 October to 18 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 September to 2 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Wurarga Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Sep 19
    8.2 °C 24.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Sep 20
    11.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 21
    13.5 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 22
    10.8 °C 32.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 23
    10.9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Wurarga minimum temp history (28.4128°S, 116.2851°E, 356m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.0° 08/09/2021 Coldest this month 2.4° 03/09/2021
    Hottest on record 37.6 30/09/1967 Coldest on record 0.0 11/09/1990
    Hottest this year 42.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 2.4° 03/09/2021
    Long term average 23.5° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 23.7° Average this month 8.0°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 1936 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 5.7° 1937
    Wurarga rainfall history (28.4128°S, 116.2851°E, 356m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.2mm 16/09/2021 Total This Month 10.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 20.6mm 6.0 days Wettest September on record 68.3mm 1992
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1916
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Wurarga Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 306.4mm 54.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 366.9mm 64.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 274.6mm 50.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 56.2mm Mar 3
    Lowest Temperature 2.4°C Sep 3
    Highest Temperature 42.1°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Wurarga Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.8 36.5 33.8 28.7 23.7 19.9 18.8 20.2 23.5 27.2 31.1 34.4 27.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.3 18.6 15.2 11.2 8.7 7.1 7.3 8.7 11.3 14.5 17.1 13.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 13.3 19.1 20.2 21.8 46.2 63.2 59.5 42.5 20.6 12.7 8.7 8.6 337.9
    Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.5 2.6 3.7 6.9 10.0 10.9 9.4 6.0 3.9 2.3 1.9 62.7