Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia
Marine Wind Warning Summary for Western Australia
Issued at 10:00 PM WST on Sunday 08 December 2019
for the period until midnight WST Monday 09 December 2019
Wind Warnings for Sunday 08 December
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Pilbara Coast West and Gascoyne Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Ningaloo Coast and Geraldton Coast
Wind Warnings for Monday 09 December
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Pilbara Coast West, Ningaloo Coast, Gascoyne Coast, Geraldton Coast and Lancelin Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:00 am WST Monday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Woorree (28.7734°S, 114.654°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW14° 31° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:49am WST 5:16am WST 7:11pm WST 7:38pm WST NOW18.3° Feels Like: 14.8° Relative Humidity: 70% Dew: 12.7° Wind: SSE 22km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1018.9hPa -
Today Weather
WoorreeNow20.1°cFeels Like:14.7°Wind:35km/hGusts:48km/hHumidity:70%14°Min31°MaxToday in WoorreeSunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/SE in the morning then tending S/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.Tomorrow14°Min31°MaxVery hot and sunny. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h tending E in the morning then turning S/SE 25 to 35 km/h during the morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 36 to 41. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/SE in the morning then tending S/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.
Forecast for Woorree (28.7734°S, 114.654°E, 25m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary Minimum 14° 18° 19° 24° 26° 24° 21° Maximum 31° 35° 39° 42° 40° 40° 37° Chance of rain 5% 20% 10% 5% 5% 10% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 24
(km/h)40
(km/h)23
(km/h)42
(km/h)26
(km/h)27
(km/h)37
(km/h)20
(km/h)32
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)27
(km/h)13
(km/h)26
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSW SSE SSW E SSW ENE SSE ENE SSW ENE SW ESE WSW Relative humidity 45% 46% 24% 38% 21% 25% 17% 18% 12% 18% 11% 22% 25% 33% Dew point 13°C 17°C 10°C 16°C 9°C 15°C 7°C 13°C 3°C 11°C 2°C 13°C 12°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Woorree Rain Forecast
Woorree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Woorree Rain Forecast
Woorree 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020677866546848105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Nov 8
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Woorree Rain Forecast
Woorree 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT9
10
11
LOW12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
LOW26
LOW27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
4
5
6
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec 8Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 December to 20 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 December to 17 December, 17 December to 21 December, and 8 January to 12 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 December to 19 December, and 4 January to 8 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Woorree Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Wednesday
Dec 0415.0 °C 33.1 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 0515.7 °C 34.3 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 0619.7 °C 32.2 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Dec 0715.8 °C 28.3 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Dec 0814.3 °C 26 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Woorree minimum temp history (28.7734°S, 114.654°E, 25m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.5° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 15.0° 04/12/2019 Hottest on record 46.8 26/12/1997 Coldest on record 7.7 03/12/1952 Hottest this year 45.1° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year 1.1° 18/05/2019 Long term average 29.6° Long term average 16.4° Average this month 35.3° Average this month 17.2° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.0° 2009 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 13.5° 1985 Woorree rainfall history (28.7734°S, 114.654°E, 25m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
0.0 daysLong Term Average 5.5mm 2.2 days Wettest December on record 58.5mm 2009 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for WA
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Year to Date
Woorree Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 445.7mm 88.7 day(s) Total For 2019 261.0mm 54.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 290.6mm 82.0 day(s) Wettest Day 35.0mm Jul 5 Lowest Temperature 1.1°C May18 Highest Temperature 45.1°C Jan20 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Woorree Climatology
Woorree Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 31.7 32.6 31.0 27.7 24.1 20.9 19.6 20.1 22.0 24.5 27.2 29.6 25.9 Mean Min (°C) 18.4 19.2 17.9 15.4 12.9 10.9 9.4 8.9 9.2 11.0 13.9 16.4 13.6 Mean Rain (mm) 5.8 11.3 16.1 23.4 69.2 98.3 90.3 64.2 32.5 19.6 9.5 5.5 444.4 Mean Rain Days 1.8 2.2 2.8 6.0 10.2 13.9 15.1 13.3 10.3 6.9 4.0 2.2 86.5