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Forecast

Warburton (26.1339°S, 126.5785°E, 455m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 20° 37°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:33am WST 4:59am WST 6:30pm WST 6:56pm WST
    NOW
    28.1° Feels Like: 22.1°
    Relative Humidity: 28%
    Dew: 8.0°
    Wind: SSE 28km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Warburton
    Now
    28.1°c
    Feels Like:
    22.1°
    Wind:
    SSE 28km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    28%
    Sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in Warburton
    Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast in the afternoon. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    20°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Warburton

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast in the afternoon. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.

    Forecast for Warburton (26.1339°S, 126.5785°E, 455m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 22° 26° 21° 20° 23° 23°
    Maximum 37° 41° 42° 36° 38° 40° 40°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE S SE WSW WSW SW SE S ESE SE ESE SE E SE
    Relative humidity 36% 17% 24% 11% 19% 15% 28% 17% 31% 16% 23% 17% 26% 15%
    Dew point 11°C 9°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 11°C 7°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 11°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Warburton Rain Forecast


    Warburton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Warburton Rain Forecast


    Warburton 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    10
    7
    8
    6
    8
    8
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Warburton Rain Forecast


    Warburton 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 January to 28 January, 15 February to 19 February, and 22 February to 26 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 February to 20 February, and 22 February to 26 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Warburton Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    27.5 °C 40.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    28.6 °C 41.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    28.8 °C 41.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    22.9 °C 38.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    23.0 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Warburton minimum temp history (26.1339°S, 126.5785°E, 455m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.1° 02/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.4° 05/01/2020
    Hottest on record 47.7 10/01/2013 Coldest on record 13.9 01/01/1970
    Hottest this year 44.1° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.4° 05/01/2020
    Long term average 38.3° Long term average 23.6°
    Average this month 35.1° Average this month 23.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 42.1° 1979 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 20.3° 1972
    Warburton rainfall history (26.1339°S, 126.5785°E, 455m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 46.8mm 04/01/2020 Total This Month 54.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 31.4mm 4.4 days Wettest January on record 177.1mm 1979
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Warburton Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 31.4mm 4.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 54.6mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 46.8mm Jan 4
    Lowest Temperature 15.4°C Jan 5
    Highest Temperature 44.1°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Warburton Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 38.3 36.7 34.2 29.8 25.1 20.9 21.0 23.7 28.3 32.7 34.7 36.7 30.3
    Mean Min (°C) 23.6 22.6 20.3 15.6 11.0 6.7 5.8 7.3 11.4 16.6 19.3 21.7 15.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 31.4 36.9 30.4 18.9 16.0 18.6 12.7 9.3 5.5 14.3 25.3 33.2 254.0
    Mean Rain Days 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.1 2.0 1.6 2.9 4.2 5.2 37.2