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Forecast

Victory Heights (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 22° 37°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am WST 5:41am WST 6:33pm WST 6:58pm WST
    NOW
    26.8° Feels Like: 21.8°
    Relative Humidity: 32%
    Dew: 8.7°
    Wind: E 24km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Victory Heights
    Now
    26.0°c
    Feels Like:
    21.6°
    Wind:
    E 24km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    39%
    Sunny
     
    22°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in Victory Heights
    Sunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    23°
    Min
    38°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Winds E/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending E/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Victory Heights

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.

    Forecast for Victory Heights (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 22° 23° 18° 17° 17° 17° 17°
    Maximum 37° 38° 34° 31° 26° 26° 25°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 70% 80% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NE ENE SE ESE SE SE SE ESE E ESE ESE ESE E
    Relative humidity 36% 17% 29% 16% 53% 25% 63% 33% 67% 41% 75% 65% 79% 60%
    Dew point 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 13°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Victory Heights Rain Forecast


    Victory Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Victory Heights Rain Forecast


    Victory Heights 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    8
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    8
    9
    8
    9
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Victory Heights Rain Forecast


    Victory Heights 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Victory Heights Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 21
    18.2 °C 33.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 22
    18.2 °C 32.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 23
    18.7 °C 32.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 24
    19.2 °C 37.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 25
    20.3 °C 26.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Victory Heights minimum temp history (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.6° 17/02/2021 Coldest this month 10.4° 05/02/2021
    Hottest on record 44.9 17/02/2013 Coldest on record 8.5 16/02/1990
    Hottest this year 40.8° 22/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.4° 05/02/2021
    Long term average 32.1° Long term average 17.9°
    Average this month 29.6° Average this month 17.6°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.0° 2007 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 1946
    Victory Heights rainfall history (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 78.4mm 03/02/2021 Total This Month 95.2mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 31.6mm 4.5 days Wettest February on record 307.8mm 1948
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Victory Heights Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 58.8mm 8.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 106.0mm 16.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 60.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 78.4mm Feb 3
    Lowest Temperature 10.4°C Feb 5
    Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan22
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Victory Heights Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.6 32.1 29.5 25.3 20.7 17.6 16.8 18.7 22.4 26.0 29.1 32.1 25.3
    Mean Min (°C) 18.3 17.9 16.1 12.7 8.7 6.3 5.1 5.7 8.1 11.3 14.2 16.7 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.2 31.6 25.4 20.2 25.0 27.0 23.8 21.5 13.5 15.7 18.8 16.3 264.9
    Mean Rain Days 4.0 4.5 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.0 9.2 7.7 5.3 4.3 4.0 3.8 67.9