Forecast
Victory Heights (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY22° 37° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:16am WST 5:41am WST 6:33pm WST 6:58pm WST NOW26.8° Feels Like: 21.8° Relative Humidity: 32% Dew: 8.7° Wind: E 24km/h Gust: 37km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1015.3hPa -
Today Weather
Victory HeightsNow26.0°cFeels Like:21.6°Wind:E 24km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:39%22°Min37°MaxToday in Victory HeightsSunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.Tomorrow23°Min38°MaxMostly sunny. Winds E/NE 25 to 35 km/h tending E/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 40. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Victory Heights
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7 day forecast
Today: Sunny. Winds E/NE 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 39.
Forecast for Victory Heights (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 22° 23° 18° 17° 17° 17° 17° Maximum 37° 38° 34° 31° 26° 26° 25° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 70% 80% 80% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)11
(km/h)26
(km/h)16
(km/h)27
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)22
(km/h)21
(km/h)16
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction ENE NE ENE SE ESE SE SE SE ESE E ESE ESE ESE E Relative humidity 36% 17% 29% 16% 53% 25% 63% 33% 67% 41% 75% 65% 79% 60% Dew point 9°C 7°C 9°C 8°C 13°C 11°C 14°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Victory Heights Rain Forecast
Victory Heights 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT25
26
27
28
Mar 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
HIGH4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Feb25Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Victory Heights Rain Forecast
Victory Heights 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20212022878777898989105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Victory Heights Rain Forecast
Victory Heights 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT25
26
27
28
Mar 1
HIGH2
HIGH3
HIGH4
LOW5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
LOW13
LOW14
LOW15
MEDIUM16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
20
21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Feb25Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Victory Heights Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Feb 2118.2 °C 33.2 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Feb 2218.2 °C 32.2 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Feb 2318.7 °C 32.4 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Feb 2419.2 °C 37.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 2520.3 °C 26.9 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Victory Heights minimum temp history (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.6° 17/02/2021 Coldest this month 10.4° 05/02/2021 Hottest on record 44.9 17/02/2013 Coldest on record 8.5 16/02/1990 Hottest this year 40.8° 22/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.4° 05/02/2021 Long term average 32.1° Long term average 17.9° Average this month 29.6° Average this month 17.6° Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.0° 2007 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 14.8° 1946 Victory Heights rainfall history (30.7819°S, 121.4709°E, 349m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 78.4mm 03/02/2021 Total This Month 95.2mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 31.6mm 4.5 days Wettest February on record 307.8mm 1948 Driest on record 0.0mm 1998 -
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Year to Date
Victory Heights Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 58.8mm 8.5 day(s) Total For 2021 106.0mm 16.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 60.6mm 10.0 day(s) Wettest Day 78.4mm Feb 3 Lowest Temperature 10.4°C Feb 5 Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan22 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Victory Heights Climatology
Victory Heights Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.6 32.1 29.5 25.3 20.7 17.6 16.8 18.7 22.4 26.0 29.1 32.1 25.3 Mean Min (°C) 18.3 17.9 16.1 12.7 8.7 6.3 5.1 5.7 8.1 11.3 14.2 16.7 11.7 Mean Rain (mm) 27.2 31.6 25.4 20.2 25.0 27.0 23.8 21.5 13.5 15.7 18.8 16.3 264.9 Mean Rain Days 4.0 4.5 4.4 5.2 6.9 9.0 9.2 7.7 5.3 4.3 4.0 3.8 67.9