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Forecast

Vasse (33.6855°S, 115.2795°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers increasing 12° 18°
    showers increasing
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:45am WST 7:12am WST 5:20pm WST 5:47pm WST
    NOW
    13.1° Feels Like: 12.3°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 10.8°
    Wind: S 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1020.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Vasse
    Now
    15.2°c
    Feels Like:
    11.0°
    Wind:
    WNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Showers increasing
     
    12°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Vasse
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    12°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming NW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds W/NW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 18.

    Forecast for Vasse (33.6855°S, 115.2795°E, 10m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Showers increasing Possible shower Heavy showers Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 12° 12° 13° 10°
    Maximum 18° 19° 16° 15° 17° 18° 18°
    Chance of rain 80% 80% 80% 60% 70% 5% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 30
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW WNW NW WNW W W SW W WSW WSW ESE E E NE
    Relative humidity 73% 72% 83% 76% 84% 70% 72% 63% 80% 74% 88% 71% 81% 63%
    Dew point 11°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 8°C 5°C 8°C 11°C 12°C 8°C 12°C 6°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Vasse Rain Forecast


    Vasse 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 May to 4 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 May to 4 June, 13 June to 17 June, and 25 June to 29 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Vasse Rain Forecast


    Vasse 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    5
    6
    6
    5
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Vasse Rain Forecast


    Vasse 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    HIGH
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    HIGH
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 May to 4 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 May to 4 June, 13 June to 17 June, and 25 June to 29 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Vasse Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    May 22
    5.0 °C 19.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 23
    4.4 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 24
    10.2 °C 18.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    May 25
    11.3 °C 14.1 °C
    37.2 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    9.4 °C 17.5 °C
    7.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Vasse minimum temp history (33.6855°S, 115.2795°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.5° 03/05/2020 Coldest this month 3.3° 10/05/2020
    Hottest on record 29.0 01/05/2003 Coldest on record 0.0 25/05/2006
    Hottest this year 38.3° 27/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.3° 10/05/2020
    Long term average 20.5° Long term average 9.1°
    Average this month 19.3° Average this month 7.9°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.1° 2009 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 6.5° 2006
    Vasse rainfall history (33.6855°S, 115.2795°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 37.2mm 25/05/2020 Total This Month 80.0mm
    10.0 days
    Long Term Average 104.4mm 14.8 days Wettest May on record 205.6mm 2013
    Driest on record 40.8mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Vasse Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 177.4mm 32.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 215.0mm 36.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 102.6mm 29.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 37.8mm Apr10
    Lowest Temperature 3.3°C May10
    Highest Temperature 38.3°C Jan27
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Vasse Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.2 30.2 27.9 24.0 20.5 17.9 16.8 17.3 18.3 21.3 25.0 27.9 23.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.7 13.3 11.0 9.1 7.6 6.7 7.2 7.7 8.6 10.7 12.3 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 13.2 4.5 19.6 35.7 104.4 131.8 137.1 108.4 82.4 32.7 24.3 9.2 687.1
    Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.2 4.6 8.6 14.8 17.9 19.8 19.3 17.3 10.3 6.6 4.0 116.4