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Forecast

Varley (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 15° 35°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:25am WST 5:50am WST 6:45pm WST 7:10pm WST
    NOW
    24.9° Feels Like: 21.1°
    Relative Humidity: 37%
    Dew: 9.2°
    Wind: E 18km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Varley
    Now
    24.6°c
    Feels Like:
    22.4°
    Wind:
    NE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    42%
    Sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    35°
    Max
    Today in Varley
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far S. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Varley

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far S. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 36.

    Forecast for Varley (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Possible shower Thunderstorms Late shower
    Minimum 15° 17° 14° 15° 15° 15° 16°
    Maximum 35° 29° 28° 27° 23° 25° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 60% 90% 90% 60%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E SW SE SE ESE SE SE SSE ESE ESE E ESE E E
    Relative humidity 41% 16% 47% 26% 57% 28% 63% 34% 71% 49% 73% 52% 73% 53%
    Dew point 10°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Varley Rain Forecast


    Varley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Varley Rain Forecast


    Varley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    8
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    4
    7
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Varley Rain Forecast


    Varley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    Mar 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Varley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 21
    14.9 °C 35.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 22
    15.2 °C 37.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 23
    19.6 °C 39.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 24
    16.6 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 25
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Varley minimum temp history (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.9° 16/02/2021 Coldest this month 7.7° 19/02/2021
    Hottest on record 48.6 03/02/2007 Coldest on record 0.0 01/02/2013
    Hottest this year 44.0° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 7.7° 19/02/2021
    Long term average 33.0° Long term average 15.9°
    Average this month 30.8° Average this month 15.0°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.2° 2015 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 1981
    Varley rainfall history (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.8mm 07/02/2021 Total This Month 22.1mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 20.3mm 3.1 days Wettest February on record 154.1mm 1955
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1998
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Varley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 40.0mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total For 2021 23.4mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 15.8mm 6.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 11.8mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 7.7°C Feb19
    Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Varley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.7 33.0 30.0 25.8 20.8 17.5 16.5 17.6 20.6 24.9 28.6 32.0 25.1
    Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.9 14.3 11.3 7.5 5.6 4.6 4.7 5.9 8.4 11.5 13.8 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 19.7 20.3 20.6 23.5 38.3 48.2 47.6 41.0 27.4 21.4 19.5 14.6 341.1
    Mean Rain Days 2.9 3.1 3.6 5.1 8.2 11.8 12.8 11.2 8.1 5.8 4.3 3.3 80.2