Forecast
Varley (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
My MLA
-
Current condition
TODAY15° 35° Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:25am WST 5:50am WST 6:45pm WST 7:10pm WST NOW24.9° Feels Like: 21.1° Relative Humidity: 37% Dew: 9.2° Wind: E 18km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1014.5hPa -
Today Weather
VarleyNow24.6°cFeels Like:22.4°Wind:NE 13km/hGusts:24km/hHumidity:42%15°Min35°MaxToday in VarleyMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far S. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 36.Tomorrow17°Min29°MaxPartly cloudy. Winds SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 32. -
Radar
-
Popup Radar
-
Warnings
There are no current warnings for Varley
-
7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far S. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 25 to 35 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 36.
Forecast for Varley (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 15° 17° 14° 15° 15° 15° 16° Maximum 35° 29° 28° 27° 23° 25° 27° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 60% 90% 90% 60% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)10
(km/h)27
(km/h)27
(km/h)26
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)25
(km/h)25
(km/h)23
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)18
(km/h)Wind direction E SW SE SE ESE SE SE SSE ESE ESE E ESE E E Relative humidity 41% 16% 47% 26% 57% 28% 63% 34% 71% 49% 73% 52% 73% 53% Dew point 10°C 6°C 10°C 8°C 10°C 8°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 15°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Varley Rain Forecast
Varley 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT25
26
27
28
LOWMar 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
24
25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Feb25Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Varley Rain Forecast
Varley 12-month Rainfall ForecastFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan20212022887666764789105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Feb 5
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
-
Long range rainfall forecast
Varley Rain Forecast
Varley 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT25
26
27
28
LOWMar 1
HIGH2
MEDIUM3
MEDIUM4
MEDIUM5
MEDIUM6
LOW7
LOW8
9
LOW10
11
MEDIUM12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
17
18
LOW19
20
21
22
23
24
25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Feb25Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Popup - Daily historical
-
Past 5 Days
Varley Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Feb 2114.9 °C 35.5 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Feb 2215.2 °C 37.3 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Feb 2319.6 °C 39.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Feb 2416.6 °C - 0.0 mmThursday
Feb 25- - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Varley minimum temp history (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.9° 16/02/2021 Coldest this month 7.7° 19/02/2021 Hottest on record 48.6 03/02/2007 Coldest on record 0.0 01/02/2013 Hottest this year 44.0° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 7.7° 19/02/2021 Long term average 33.0° Long term average 15.9° Average this month 30.8° Average this month 15.0° Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.2° 2015 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.3° 1981 Varley rainfall history (32.796°S, 119.5079°E, 324m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 11.8mm 07/02/2021 Total This Month 22.1mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 20.3mm 3.1 days Wettest February on record 154.1mm 1955 Driest on record 0.0mm 1998 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
-
Year to Date
Varley Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Feb 40.0mm 6.0 day(s) Total For 2021 23.4mm 6.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 15.8mm 6.0 day(s) Wettest Day 11.8mm Feb 7 Lowest Temperature 7.7°C Feb19 Highest Temperature 44.0°C Jan 9 -
Popup - Monthly historical
-
Climatology
Climate History
Varley Climatology
Varley Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.7 33.0 30.0 25.8 20.8 17.5 16.5 17.6 20.6 24.9 28.6 32.0 25.1 Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.9 14.3 11.3 7.5 5.6 4.6 4.7 5.9 8.4 11.5 13.8 10.0 Mean Rain (mm) 19.7 20.3 20.6 23.5 38.3 48.2 47.6 41.0 27.4 21.4 19.5 14.6 341.1 Mean Rain Days 2.9 3.1 3.6 5.1 8.2 11.8 12.8 11.2 8.1 5.8 4.3 3.3 80.2