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Forecast

Vancouver Peninsula (35.0598°S, 117.9306°E, 51m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 18° 22°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:26am WST 5:52am WST 6:52pm WST 7:18pm WST
    NOW
    20.0° Feels Like: 16.5°
    Relative Humidity: 77%
    Dew: 15.8°
    Wind: E 28km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Vancouver Peninsula
    Now
    19.4°c
    Feels Like:
    19.1°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    74%
    Possible shower
     
    18°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Vancouver Peninsula
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    18°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 14 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Vancouver Peninsula

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h turning SE in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 30.

    Forecast for Vancouver Peninsula (35.0598°S, 117.9306°E, 51m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Cloudy Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 18° 18° 17° 17° 17° 17° 18°
    Maximum 22° 21° 20° 20° 21° 20° 22°
    Chance of rain 50% 60% 50% 60% 90% 90% 40%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE E ESE ESE ESE E ESE
    Relative humidity 79% 77% 71% 71% 72% 69% 73% 69% 74% 74% 85% 83% 75% 72%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 13°C 14°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 16°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Vancouver Peninsula Rain Forecast


    Vancouver Peninsula 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Vancouver Peninsula Rain Forecast


    Vancouver Peninsula 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    8
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    4
    7
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Vancouver Peninsula Rain Forecast


    Vancouver Peninsula 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Vancouver Peninsula Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 21
    18.0 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 22
    17.7 °C 22.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 23
    18.6 °C 23.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 24
    19.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 25
    - -
    0.1 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Vancouver Peninsula minimum temp history (35.0598°S, 117.9306°E, 51m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.9° 15/02/2021 Coldest this month 11.5° 19/02/2021
    Hottest on record 44.8 08/02/1933 Coldest on record 7.2 09/02/1916
    Hottest this year 30.8° 19/01/2021 Coldest this year 11.2° 14/01/2021
    Long term average 23.2° Long term average 15.8°
    Average this month 21.9° Average this month 16.5°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 1921 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 13.7° 1938
    Vancouver Peninsula rainfall history (35.0598°S, 117.9306°E, 51m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.0mm 08/02/2021 Total This Month 46.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 22.8mm 7.6 days Wettest February on record 161.4mm 1955
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1879
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Vancouver Peninsula Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 48.2mm 15.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 64.6mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 26.0mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.0mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 11.2°C Jan14
    Highest Temperature 30.8°C Jan19
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Vancouver Peninsula Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.1 23.2 22.5 21.2 19.0 17.1 16.1 16.6 17.6 18.8 20.6 21.9 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 15.5 15.8 15.1 13.1 11.0 9.5 8.5 8.6 9.5 10.7 12.5 14.1 11.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 25.4 22.8 39.4 69.5 113.4 129.3 146.8 125.5 101.7 77.6 48.2 30.5 930.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.8 7.6 11.1 14.1 18.1 19.8 21.5 21.0 18.3 16.2 12.1 9.4 176.9