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Forecast

Upper Murray (32.99°S, 116.2814°E, 260m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly cloudy 14° 29°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am WST 5:54am WST 7:03pm WST 7:29pm WST
    NOW
    20.7° Feels Like: 14.7°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 6.3°
    Wind: ESE 26km/h
    Gust: 37km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Upper Murray
    Now
    19.7°c
    Feels Like:
    16.8°
    Wind:
    ESE 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    43%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    14°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Upper Murray
    Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    14°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming E 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Upper Murray

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 12 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Upper Murray (32.99°S, 116.2814°E, 260m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly cloudy Clearing shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Thunderstorms Mostly cloudy Clearing shower
    Minimum 14° 18° 19° 20° 20° 19° 16°
    Maximum 29° 31° 32° 30° 30° 28° 25°
    Chance of rain 70% 70% 30% 70% 80% 40% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E E ENE E E E ENE NE NE NW SSW SSW SE SE
    Relative humidity 52% 28% 54% 32% 48% 26% 41% 34% 52% 39% 68% 50% 66% 43%
    Dew point 9°C 9°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Upper Murray Rain Forecast


    Upper Murray 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 February to 28 February, 28 February to 3 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 February to 26 February, and 27 February to 2 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 February to 28 February, 28 February to 3 March, and 7 March to 11 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Upper Murray Rain Forecast


    Upper Murray 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    1
    5
    6
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    5
    7
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Upper Murray Rain Forecast


    Upper Murray 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    HIGH
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 February to 28 February, 28 February to 3 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 February to 26 February, and 27 February to 2 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 24 February to 28 February, 28 February to 3 March, and 7 March to 11 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Upper Murray Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Feb 13
    19.6 °C 35.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 14
    18.9 °C 37.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 15
    18.8 °C 25.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 16
    12.8 °C 26.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 17
    13.9 °C 29 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Upper Murray minimum temp history (32.99°S, 116.2814°E, 260m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.4° 05/02/2020 Coldest this month 8.6° 01/02/2020
    Hottest on record 43.5 23/02/1991 Coldest on record 5.0 13/02/1981
    Hottest this year 39.9° 27/01/2020 Coldest this year 6.1° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 29.9° Long term average 15.0°
    Average this month 31.9° Average this month 15.8°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.3° 1996 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 12.6° 1981
    Upper Murray rainfall history (32.99°S, 116.2814°E, 260m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 04/02/2020 Total This Month 0.8mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 21.8mm 3.4 days Wettest February on record 269.1mm 1955
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Upper Murray Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 37.6mm 6.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 3.6mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 14.6mm 5.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 2.4mm Jan30
    Lowest Temperature 6.1°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 39.9°C Jan27
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Upper Murray Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.1 29.9 27.2 22.6 18.8 16.1 15.1 15.8 17.4 20.3 24.0 27.7 22.0
    Mean Min (°C) 14.6 15.0 13.3 10.6 8.0 6.6 5.6 5.6 6.7 8.3 10.8 13.0 9.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.8 21.8 26.4 66.0 158.4 237.4 234.9 193.5 131.9 79.0 46.2 20.7 1230.3
    Mean Rain Days 3.4 3.4 4.9 9.6 16.0 19.6 21.4 19.6 16.3 12.2 8.0 4.7 137.8