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Forecast

Ucarty (31.3328°S, 117.0636°E, 294m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 20° 28°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am WST 6:02am WST 6:47pm WST 7:11pm WST
    NOW
    18.5° Feels Like: 18.0°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 18.0°
    Wind: W 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.8mm
    Pressure: 1007.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ucarty
    Now
    20.3°c
    Feels Like:
    21.8°
    Wind:
    WNW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Mostly sunny
     
    20°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Ucarty
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the east, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/SW early in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    19°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of a thunderstorm in the northeast in the early morning. Winds S 15 to 20 km/h turning SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ucarty

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the east, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/SW early in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 30.

    Forecast for Ucarty (31.3328°S, 117.0636°E, 294m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Windy Windy Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 19° 17° 18° 19° 21° 20°
    Maximum 28° 27° 26° 29° 31° 33° 31°
    Chance of rain 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W SSE SE E E ENE E ENE ESE NNE NW SSW WSW
    Relative humidity 80% 47% 73% 49% 62% 43% 57% 34% 47% 25% 34% 23% 64% 31%
    Dew point 19°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 11°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 15°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ucarty Rain Forecast


    Ucarty 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 March to 10 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 9 March to 13 March, and 16 March to 20 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ucarty Rain Forecast


    Ucarty 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    5
    6
    7
    7
    5
    6
    6
    7
    5
    8
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ucarty Rain Forecast


    Ucarty 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 March to 10 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 March to 13 March, and 21 March to 25 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 March to 9 March, 9 March to 13 March, and 16 March to 20 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ucarty Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Feb 24
    18.8 °C 30.1 °C
    7.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 25
    18.9 °C 31.7 °C
    6.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 26
    18.9 °C 24.1 °C
    19.1 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 27
    20.5 °C 28.4 °C
    11.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 28
    21.0 °C -
    3.9 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ucarty minimum temp history (31.3328°S, 117.0636°E, 294m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.8° 05/02/2020 Coldest this month 13.2° 03/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.9 05/02/2007 Coldest on record 2.8 03/02/1997
    Hottest this year 45.1° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.7° 06/01/2020
    Long term average 33.9° Long term average 17.4°
    Average this month 35.1° Average this month 19.5°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.0° 1985 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 1994
    Ucarty rainfall history (31.3328°S, 117.0636°E, 294m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 19.1mm 26/02/2020 Total This Month 45.7mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 15.4mm 2.2 days Wettest February on record 138.9mm 1939
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1889
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Ucarty Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 29.1mm 4.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 45.7mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.1mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 19.1mm Feb26
    Lowest Temperature 10.7°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 45.1°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ucarty Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.6 33.9 30.9 26.3 21.8 18.4 17.1 17.9 20.5 25.2 29.1 32.0 25.4
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 17.4 15.6 12.5 9.4 7.6 6.6 6.3 7.0 9.3 12.6 15.0 11.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 13.7 15.4 18.3 21.9 48.1 65.8 67.4 48.9 28.5 20.1 12.0 10.2 366.5
    Mean Rain Days 1.9 2.2 2.9 4.6 8.9 12.4 13.5 11.7 8.5 5.7 3.4 2.0 72.6