Forecast
Torndirrup (35.0564°S, 117.8522°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 25° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 4:19am WST 4:48am WST 7:16pm WST 7:46pm WST NOW15.3° Feels Like: 11.2° Relative Humidity: 80% Dew: 11.9° Wind: ENE 24km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1023.1hPa -
Today Weather
TorndirrupNow12.1°cFeels Like:10.8°Wind:SE 7km/hGusts:9km/hHumidity:87%16°Min25°MaxToday in TorndirrupMostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.Tomorrow16°Min32°MaxVery hot and sunny. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then tending NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 40. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Torndirrup
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7 day forecast
Today: Mostly sunny. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 11 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 36.
Forecast for Torndirrup (35.0564°S, 117.8522°E, 5m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 16° 16° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17° Maximum 25° 32° 31° 31° 22° 25° 23° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 10% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 20
(km/h)24
(km/h)11
(km/h)20
(km/h)9
(km/h)18
(km/h)6
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)22
(km/h)14
(km/h)19
(km/h)12
(km/h)21
(km/h)Wind direction ENE ESE NNE SSE NNE S N SW S SSE ESE SSE SSE SSE Relative humidity 59% 46% 38% 38% 37% 37% 29% 36% 71% 66% 68% 57% 69% 63% Dew point 14°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 14°C 8°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 16°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Torndirrup Rain Forecast
Torndirrup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
LOW4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Torndirrup Rain Forecast
Torndirrup 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020686756655657105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Torndirrup Rain Forecast
Torndirrup 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
LOW20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
25
MEDIUM26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
LOW30
LOW31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
LOW4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec11Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Torndirrup Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Saturday
Dec 0716.4 °C 23.0 °C 0.2 mmSunday
Dec 0816.0 °C 17.6 °C 1.0 mmMonday
Dec 099.6 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1013.2 °C 21.2 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1115.6 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Torndirrup minimum temp history (35.0564°S, 117.8522°E, 5m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 25.9° 06/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.6° 09/12/2019 Hottest on record 42.2 27/12/2003 Coldest on record 6.7 16/12/1911 Hottest this year 29.9° 01/04/2019 Coldest this year 4.0° 06/09/2019 Long term average 21.9° Long term average 14.1° Average this month 22.2° Average this month 14.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 24.9° 1941 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 1910 Torndirrup rainfall history (35.0564°S, 117.8522°E, 5m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 1.0mm 08/12/2019 Total This Month 1.6mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 30.7mm 9.5 days Wettest December on record 95.7mm 1941 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for WA
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Year to Date
Torndirrup Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 934.7mm 177.3 day(s) Total For 2019 647.1mm 143.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 695.5mm 163.0 day(s) Wettest Day 36.4mm Jul 5 Lowest Temperature 4.0°C Sep 6 Highest Temperature 29.9°C Apr 1 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Torndirrup Climatology
Torndirrup Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 23.2 23.2 22.5 21.2 19.0 17.0 16.1 16.6 17.6 18.8 20.6 21.9 19.8 Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.7 15.0 13.0 11.0 9.4 8.4 8.5 9.5 10.6 12.5 14.1 11.9 Mean Rain (mm) 25.8 22.9 39.4 69.8 114.9 130.8 147.0 124.4 102.1 78.5 48.4 30.7 933.1 Mean Rain Days 7.8 7.5 11.1 14.1 18.1 19.9 21.4 21.0 18.4 16.3 12.2 9.5 173.1