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Forecast

Talbot West (32.13°S, 116.6994°E, 233m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers increasing 10° 16°
    showers increasing
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:45am WST 7:12am WST 5:25pm WST 5:51pm WST
    NOW
    14.4° Feels Like: 13.2°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: NW 13km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.6mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Talbot West
    Now
    15.4°c
    Feels Like:
    13.7°
    Wind:
    NW 15km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Showers increasing
     
    10°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Talbot West
    Mostly clear. Slight chance of a shower in the far southwest, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far southwest. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Rain clearing
    10°
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds N/NW 25 to 35 km/h turning W 20 to 30 km/h early in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly clear. Slight chance of a shower in the far southwest, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far southwest. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Talbot West (32.13°S, 116.6994°E, 233m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Showers increasing Rain clearing Mostly cloudy Late shower Clearing shower Mostly sunny Fog then sunny
    Minimum 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 16° 14° 15° 18° 12° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 90% 30% 5% 90% 60% 30% 20%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NW W W NNE NNW NNE NNW W WSW NW WSW SE SE
    Relative humidity 78% 74% 84% 59% 84% 63% 83% 69% 89% 70% 85% 67% 92% 66%
    Dew point 8°C 12°C 8°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 8°C 6°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Talbot West Rain Forecast


    Talbot West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 9 August to 13 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 31 July to 4 August, and 14 August to 18 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 August to 5 August, 9 August to 13 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Talbot West Rain Forecast


    Talbot West 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    5
    3
    1
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Talbot West Rain Forecast


    Talbot West 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    HIGH
    7
    HIGH
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 9 August to 13 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 31 July to 4 August, and 14 August to 18 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 August to 5 August, 9 August to 13 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Talbot West Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    3.8 °C 16.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 10
    0.6 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 11
    1.2 °C 15.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 12
    -1.8 °C 18.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 13
    6.4 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Talbot West minimum temp history (32.13°S, 116.6994°E, 233m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 19.6° 05/07/2020 Coldest this month -1.8° 12/07/2020
    Hottest on record 25.3 17/07/1976 Coldest on record -3.8 08/07/2013
    Hottest this year 45.2° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.8° 12/07/2020
    Long term average 16.8° Long term average 5.0°
    Average this month 17.0° Average this month 4.2°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.2° 1977 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 1.8° 2012
    Talbot West rainfall history (32.13°S, 116.6994°E, 233m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.2mm 08/07/2020 Total This Month 3.4mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 77.4mm 14.7 days Wettest July on record 216.1mm 1958
    Driest on record 13.4mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Talbot West Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 275.5mm 50.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 167.4mm 48.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 164.6mm 40.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 33.8mm Jun29
    Lowest Temperature -1.8°C Jul12
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Talbot West Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.3 33.6 30.8 26.2 21.4 18.0 16.8 17.8 20.3 24.5 28.6 32.1 25.4
    Mean Min (°C) 16.3 16.7 14.7 11.3 8.0 6.0 5.0 5.1 5.8 8.0 11.5 14.3 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 13.3 14.5 16.4 23.7 53.2 77.0 77.4 57.4 33.9 23.3 15.2 10.2 409.3
    Mean Rain Days 2.1 2.2 3.1 5.3 10.0 13.1 14.7 13.2 9.9 6.7 3.9 2.4 76.4