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Forecast

Punchbowl (33.2793°S, 115.6921°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers increasing 10° 17°
    showers increasing
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:54am WST 7:21am WST 5:24pm WST 5:51pm WST
    NOW
    13.9° Feels Like: 11.9°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 10.5°
    Wind: W 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.6mm
    Pressure: 1022.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Punchbowl
    Now
    14.6°c
    Feels Like:
    11.6°
    Wind:
    W 15km/h
    Gusts:
    18km/h
    Humidity:
    72%
    Showers increasing
     
    10°
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Today in Punchbowl
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the south coast in the morning and afternoon. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light early in the morning then becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Punchbowl (33.2793°S, 115.6921°E, 1m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers increasing Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers increasing
    Minimum 10° 12°
    Maximum 17° 17° 15° 15° 17° 19° 19°
    Chance of rain 80% 10% 5% 5% 30% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W WNW SSW SW ESE SSW E E ENE NE NNE NNW NW NNW
    Relative humidity 74% 65% 82% 57% 87% 55% 87% 50% 76% 49% 68% 63% 79% 67%
    Dew point 10°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 5°C 5°C 7°C 11°C 12°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast


    Punchbowl 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast


    Punchbowl 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    4
    5
    6
    5
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    1
    10
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Punchbowl Rain Forecast


    Punchbowl 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    18
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    HIGH
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Punchbowl Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jul 03
    4.2 °C 19.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    4.9 °C 21.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    10.1 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    13.6 °C 18.1 °C
    26.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    13.3 °C 15.4 °C
    4.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Punchbowl minimum temp history (33.2793°S, 115.6921°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.1° 04/07/2020 Coldest this month 3.3° 02/07/2020
    Hottest on record 22.4 22/07/1997 Coldest on record -2.1 30/07/1998
    Hottest this year 38.8° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 2.5° 09/05/2020
    Long term average 17.2° Long term average 7.0°
    Average this month 18.5° Average this month 7.8°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.1° 2014 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 4.6° 1998
    Punchbowl rainfall history (33.2793°S, 115.6921°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 26.6mm 06/07/2020 Total This Month 29.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 140.2mm 18.8 days Wettest July on record 263.6mm 2000
    Driest on record 55.4mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Punchbowl Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 451.9mm 66.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 373.2mm 60.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 313.0mm 48.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 38.2mm Jun11
    Lowest Temperature 2.5°C May 9
    Highest Temperature 38.8°C Feb 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Punchbowl Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 30.1 27.7 24.2 21.0 18.4 17.2 17.6 18.5 21.1 24.5 27.2 23.2
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.9 14.2 11.8 9.3 8.0 7.0 7.6 8.5 9.5 12.1 13.5 11.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 12.0 7.7 19.5 37.5 99.2 135.8 140.2 118.4 84.6 32.2 23.8 18.5 722.2
    Mean Rain Days 2.4 2.3 3.9 8.7 13.4 17.2 18.8 19.0 17.1 9.8 6.4 3.7 113.7