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Forecast

Plumridge Lakes (29.3072°S, 122.9622°E, 404m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 13° 29°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:21am WST 4:47am WST 6:26pm WST 6:52pm WST
    NOW
    13.9° Feels Like: 6.5°
    Relative Humidity: 48%
    Dew: 3.1°
    Wind: ESE 30km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Plumridge Lakes
    Now
    15.2°c
    Feels Like:
    9.8°
    Wind:
    SE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    41%
    Sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Plumridge Lakes
    Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far north, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far north in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Plumridge Lakes

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Plumridge Lakes (29.3072°S, 122.9622°E, 404m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 16° 23° 21° 19° 15° 21°
    Maximum 29° 36° 37° 39° 35° 33° 36°
    Chance of rain 5% 70% 40% 5% 10% 30% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ESE ENE ENE ENE N NNW W SE SE E E NE N
    Relative humidity 27% 8% 10% 7% 11% 8% 13% 5% 26% 14% 34% 14% 15% 18%
    Dew point -0°C -8°C -6°C -5°C -3°C -2°C 1°C -7°C 5°C 4°C 5°C 2°C 2°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Plumridge Lakes Rain Forecast


    Plumridge Lakes 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Plumridge Lakes Rain Forecast


    Plumridge Lakes 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    2
    5
    7
    6
    6
    6
    6
    5
    6
    9
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Plumridge Lakes Rain Forecast


    Plumridge Lakes 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Plumridge Lakes Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    22.3 °C 41.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    27.9 °C 43.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    29.7 °C 44.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    30.1 °C 44.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    25.8 °C 32 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Plumridge Lakes minimum temp history (29.3072°S, 122.9622°E, 404m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 45.0° 19/11/2019 Coldest this month 9.2° 03/11/2019
    Hottest on record 42.8 16/11/2015 Coldest on record 5.6 21/11/1992
    Hottest this year 46.9° 13/01/2019 Coldest this year -0.9° 01/07/2019
    Long term average 31.2° Long term average 17.1°
    Average this month 34.8° Average this month 19.3°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.9° 2006 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 14.2° 1992
    Plumridge Lakes rainfall history (29.3072°S, 122.9622°E, 404m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/11/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 20.8mm 4.3 days Wettest November on record 77.0mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Plumridge Lakes Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 291.8mm 49.6 day(s)
    Total For 2019 58.4mm 19.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 265.2mm 56.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.2mm Apr15
    Lowest Temperature -0.9°C Jul 1
    Highest Temperature 46.9°C Jan13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Plumridge Lakes Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.5 33.8 30.4 26.8 22.2 18.3 18.4 20.8 24.5 28.7 31.2 33.8 27.1
    Mean Min (°C) 21.5 20.7 18.2 14.9 10.4 7.0 5.9 7.2 10.4 14.5 17.1 19.7 14.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 52.1 65.6 46.2 21.7 16.2 16.7 19.1 9.8 8.4 15.2 20.8 29.8 323.7
    Mean Rain Days 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.0 4.2 4.8 5.3 3.2 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.6 51.9