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Forecast

Pingelly (32.534°S, 117.0841°E, 304m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 29°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:02am WST 5:28am WST 6:26pm WST 6:52pm WST
    NOW
    16.6° Feels Like: 12.5°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 2.6°
    Wind: SSE 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Pingelly
    Now
    16.7°c
    Feels Like:
    12.5°
    Wind:
    ESE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    43%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Pingelly
    Sunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Winds NE 25 to 35 km/h shifting W/NW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 30 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pingelly

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 5 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31.

    Forecast for Pingelly (32.534°S, 117.0841°E, 304m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Fog then sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 10° 10°
    Maximum 29° 30° 27° 27° 24° 25° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 20% 20% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 26
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE N WNW W W SE W WSW SW SE S E E
    Relative humidity 50% 24% 36% 24% 67% 27% 58% 35% 62% 34% 53% 27% 44% 19%
    Dew point 4°C 7°C 6°C 7°C 10°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 6°C 4°C 4°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pingelly Rain Forecast


    Pingelly 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pingelly Rain Forecast


    Pingelly 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    8
    6
    3
    3
    5
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pingelly Rain Forecast


    Pingelly 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 October to 3 November, 9 November to 13 November, and 16 November to 20 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 November to 11 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 15 November to 19 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 October to 2 November, 10 November to 14 November, and 16 November to 20 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pingelly Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Oct 14
    10.8 °C 20.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    4.6 °C 20.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    5.1 °C 21.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    5.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Oct 18
    8 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pingelly minimum temp history (32.534°S, 117.0841°E, 304m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.0° 09/10/2019 Coldest this month 4.6° 15/10/2019
    Hottest on record 37.0 30/10/2013 Coldest on record -1.1 19/10/1970
    Hottest this year 42.3° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year 0.2° 05/09/2019
    Long term average 22.3° Long term average 8.4°
    Average this month 23.7° Average this month 8.8°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.8° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 6.2° 1986
    Pingelly rainfall history (32.534°S, 117.0841°E, 304m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.4mm 05/10/2019 Total This Month 4.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 25.1mm 7.1 days Wettest October on record 100.3mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Pingelly Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 416.7mm 84.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 290.6mm 67.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 347.7mm 93.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 23.6mm Jun23
    Lowest Temperature 0.2°C Sep 5
    Highest Temperature 42.3°C Jan20
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Pingelly Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.9 31.3 28.4 24.1 19.6 16.4 15.3 16.1 18.4 22.3 26.4 29.9 23.3
    Mean Min (°C) 15.6 16.0 14.7 11.9 8.8 6.6 5.5 5.6 6.5 8.4 11.4 13.9 10.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 11.6 14.1 17.6 27.5 58.1 81.2 80.3 61.7 39.5 25.1 16.0 11.6 439.7
    Mean Rain Days 2.1 2.3 3.2 5.7 10.3 14.0 15.1 13.4 10.8 7.1 4.4 2.5 81.7