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Forecast

Pickering Brook (32.0351°S, 116.1315°E, 283m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 13° 23°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:14am WST 6:39am WST 5:50pm WST 6:15pm WST
    NOW
    13.8° Feels Like: &nbsp;
    Relative Humidity: &nbsp;
    Dew: &nbsp;
    Wind: SE 15km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Pickering Brook
    Now
    15.4°c
    Feels Like:
    12.2°
    Wind:
    SE 19km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    76%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    13°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Pickering Brook
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the morning. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Pickering Brook

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze in the morning. Light winds becoming S/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Pickering Brook (32.0351°S, 116.1315°E, 283m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 13° 13° 12° 14° 17° 17°
    Maximum 23° 25° 25° 25° 28° 31° 31°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SW E S ESE SE E E E E ENE NNE ENE N
    Relative humidity 70% 41% 74% 41% 70% 36% 74% 36% 56% 30% 42% 23% 41% 21%
    Dew point 11°C 10°C 13°C 11°C 11°C 9°C 11°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 7°C 7°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Pickering Brook Rain Forecast


    Pickering Brook 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 May to 5 May, 6 May to 10 May, and 16 May to 20 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 May to 6 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 May to 10 May, 16 May to 20 May, and 20 May to 24 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Pickering Brook Rain Forecast


    Pickering Brook 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    2021
    2022
    5
    6
    5
    6
    6
    7
    5
    8
    8
    8
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 14

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, potentially trending negative during winter. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has concluded, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of Autumn. A few models are predicting La Niña conditions to return later this year, while the majority of models predict neutral conditions. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This is expected to generate above normal rainfall for much of Australia during the next month or so. Some models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may develop during winter, which would increase rainfall across parts of Australia during winter. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northern coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC, most of TAS and southwest WA are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to bewetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The negative IOD may be playing a part in this, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Pickering Brook Rain Forecast


    Pickering Brook 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 May to 5 May, 6 May to 10 May, and 16 May to 20 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 May to 6 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 May to 10 May, 16 May to 20 May, and 20 May to 24 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Pickering Brook Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Apr 14
    8.8 °C 20.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 15
    10.3 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Apr 16
    10.7 °C 22.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Apr 17
    11.3 °C 24.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 18
    12.1 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Pickering Brook minimum temp history (32.0351°S, 116.1315°E, 283m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 30.3° 01/04/2021 Coldest this month 8.8° 14/04/2021
    Hottest on record 35.1 08/04/2013 Coldest on record 5.0 29/04/2000
    Hottest this year 38.9° 08/01/2021 Coldest this year 8.8° 14/04/2021
    Long term average 23.6° Long term average 12.7°
    Average this month 24.0° Average this month 13.6°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.4° 1999 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.0° 2006
    Pickering Brook rainfall history (32.0351°S, 116.1315°E, 283m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 15.4mm 12/04/2021 Total This Month 27.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 54.7mm 7.3 days Wettest April on record 157.8mm 2008
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1982
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Pickering Brook Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 121.2mm 17.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 161.8mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 107.8mm 16.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 32.0mm Feb 8
    Lowest Temperature 8.8°C Apr14
    Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan 8
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Pickering Brook Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.5 30.4 27.9 23.6 19.3 16.2 15.1 16.0 17.7 21.2 25.0 28.3 22.6
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.8 14.6 12.7 10.1 8.2 7.3 7.6 8.3 9.8 11.9 13.8 11.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 18.8 21.6 26.1 54.7 130.8 200.2 213.1 176.2 124.9 65.3 43.1 14.5 1089.6
    Mean Rain Days 2.8 2.8 4.2 7.3 12.5 16.9 18.5 16.6 14.3 9.3 6.6 3.6 114.4