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Forecast

Orelia (32.2344°S, 115.8211°E, 32m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 14° 16°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:51am WST 7:18am WST 5:26pm WST 5:53pm WST
    NOW
    16.7° Feels Like: 9.4°
    Relative Humidity: 69%
    Dew: 11.0°
    Wind: W 39km/h
    Gust: 44km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure: 1020.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Orelia
    Now
    14.5°c
    Feels Like:
    10.8°
    Wind:
    W 17km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Orelia
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the south, high chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. Winds S/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers in the south, high chance elsewhere. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 18.

    Forecast for Orelia (32.2344°S, 115.8211°E, 32m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 14° 11° 11° 14°
    Maximum 16° 15° 15° 15° 17° 18° 17°
    Chance of rain 70% 10% 5% 5% 40% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 20-40mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W E SSW ESE SSE E E ENE NE NNE N N NNW
    Relative humidity 71% 66% 83% 64% 83% 57% 82% 54% 71% 49% 59% 52% 79% 67%
    Dew point 10°C 10°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 8°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Orelia Rain Forecast


    Orelia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Orelia Rain Forecast


    Orelia 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    4
    5
    6
    5
    7
    8
    8
    7
    7
    1
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Orelia Rain Forecast


    Orelia 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    HIGH
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    HIGH
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    LOW
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Orelia Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    9.8 °C 16.7 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jul 03
    10.3 °C 19.6 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    13.6 °C 21.7 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    13.6 °C 22.0 °C
    -
    Monday
    Jul 06
    15.1 °C 18.4 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Orelia minimum temp history (32.2344°S, 115.8211°E, 32m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.0° 05/07/2020 Coldest this month 9.8° 02/07/2020
    Hottest on record 23.0 17/07/2002 Coldest on record 4.3 31/07/2009
    Hottest this year 40.3° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 7.6° 15/05/2020
    Long term average 17.7° Long term average 11.0°
    Average this month 19.3° Average this month 12.1°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 2007 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 2012
    Orelia rainfall history (32.2344°S, 115.8211°E, 32m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 114.2mm 18.9 days Wettest July on record 183.2mm 2007
    Driest on record 40.6mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Orelia Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 383.7mm 64.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 158.8mm 29.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 291.8mm 41.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 99.8mm May 6
    Lowest Temperature 7.6°C May15
    Highest Temperature 40.3°C Feb 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Orelia Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.5 28.4 27.0 23.8 21.3 19.0 17.7 18.2 18.9 21.0 23.8 25.4 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.4 18.2 16.1 14.0 12.1 11.0 11.3 11.9 13.6 15.8 17.2 15.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 10.9 16.5 16.0 38.6 78.2 109.3 114.2 93.6 67.4 29.4 23.9 10.9 599.5
    Mean Rain Days 2.7 2.1 4.1 8.3 12.1 15.8 18.9 17.5 15.7 9.6 6.3 3.9 105.5