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Forecast

Oombulgurri (15.1799°S, 127.8425°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 14° 31°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:32am WST 5:55am WST 5:10pm WST 5:33pm WST
    NOW
    20.6° Feels Like: 14.7°
    Relative Humidity: 26%
    Dew: 0.4°
    Wind: E 20km/h
    Gust: 24km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Oombulgurri
    Now
    17.5°c
    Feels Like:
    16.5°
    Wind:
    SW 2km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Oombulgurri
    Sunny. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    15°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching 27 to 32.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Oombulgurri

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon then becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Oombulgurri (15.1799°S, 127.8425°E, 18m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 15° 15° 17° 18° 18° 16°
    Maximum 31° 32° 33° 34° 34° 33° 32°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 28
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE SE SE ESE ESE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
    Relative humidity 15% 10% 15% 15% 21% 21% 27% 21% 25% 22% 19% 17% 19% 16%
    Dew point -3°C -4°C -2°C 2°C 3°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 9°C 3°C 5°C 1°C 3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Oombulgurri Rain Forecast


    Oombulgurri 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Oombulgurri Rain Forecast


    Oombulgurri 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    9
    9
    9
    8
    8
    8
    6
    7
    8
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Oombulgurri Rain Forecast


    Oombulgurri 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 July to 26 July, 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 27 July to 31 July, and 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 July to 26 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 1 August to 5 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Oombulgurri Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    15.4 °C 34.8 °C
    -
    Friday
    Jul 03
    16.9 °C 34.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    23.4 °C 32.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    18.0 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    14.4 °C 30.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Oombulgurri minimum temp history (15.1799°S, 127.8425°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.8° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month 13.5° 01/07/2020
    Hottest on record 37.3 26/07/2009 Coldest on record 5.1 11/07/2008
    Hottest this year 41.9° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.9° 30/06/2020
    Long term average 31.9° Long term average 15.3°
    Average this month 33.3° Average this month 17.4°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.9° 2005 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 12.1° 2002
    Oombulgurri rainfall history (15.1799°S, 127.8425°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/07/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 2.8mm 0.3 days Wettest July on record 82.3mm 1968
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1951
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Oombulgurri Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 626.8mm 45.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 464.4mm 42.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 416.2mm 41.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.4mm Feb29
    Lowest Temperature 11.9°C Jun30
    Highest Temperature 41.9°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Oombulgurri Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.4 35.9 36.0 36.7 34.2 31.4 31.9 33.9 37.7 39.4 39.9 37.8 36.0
    Mean Min (°C) 26.2 25.9 25.7 23.4 19.3 15.9 15.3 16.1 21.5 24.7 26.7 26.7 22.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 209.3 224.5 147.9 26.5 12.3 3.5 2.8 0.1 4.0 19.1 57.5 154.7 856.1
    Mean Rain Days 14.7 14.6 11.3 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.5 6.5 10.5 61.5