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Forecast

Nirimba (32.6337°S, 115.779°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 20° 33°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am WST 6:02am WST 6:58pm WST 7:23pm WST
    NOW
    22.2° Feels Like: 22.3°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 16.7°
    Wind: SE 11km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Nirimba
    Now
    18.1°c
    Feels Like:
    15.2°
    Wind:
    ESE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    85%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    20°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Nirimba
    Humid. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds, possible hail and heavy falls in the N in the afternoon and evening. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    21°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h decreasing to 25 to 30 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Humid. Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm, with gusty winds, possible hail and heavy falls in the N in the afternoon and evening. Winds E 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the low 30s.

    Forecast for Nirimba (32.6337°S, 115.779°E, 1m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 20° 21° 21° 22° 19° 18° 20°
    Maximum 33° 30° 30° 29° 27° 29° 29°
    Chance of rain 70% 80% 70% 50% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE E E ESE E N WNW SSW SW SE SSW SE S
    Relative humidity 67% 47% 70% 60% 66% 52% 70% 69% 70% 61% 63% 49% 48% 47%
    Dew point 17°C 20°C 18°C 22°C 17°C 19°C 19°C 23°C 17°C 19°C 15°C 18°C 13°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nirimba Rain Forecast


    Nirimba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 March to 8 March, and 8 March to 12 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 7 March to 11 March, and 15 March to 19 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nirimba Rain Forecast


    Nirimba 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    3
    5
    6
    6
    4
    5
    6
    8
    2
    7
    8
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nirimba Rain Forecast


    Nirimba 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    HIGH
    26
    HIGH
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    Mar 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 March to 11 March, 15 March to 19 March, and 19 March to 23 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 March to 8 March, and 8 March to 12 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 March to 6 March, 7 March to 11 March, and 15 March to 19 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nirimba Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    22.2 °C 36.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    22.9 °C 34.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    24.3 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    21.1 °C 33.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 24
    21.4 °C 31 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nirimba minimum temp history (32.6337°S, 115.779°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.1° 04/02/2020 Coldest this month 14.4° 01/02/2020
    Hottest on record 39.9 08/02/2016 Coldest on record 11.8 02/02/2016
    Hottest this year 40.1° 04/02/2020 Coldest this year 12.0° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 29.8° Long term average 19.4°
    Average this month 30.9° Average this month 20.2°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.0° 2011 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 18.0° 2005
    Nirimba rainfall history (32.6337°S, 115.779°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/02/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 13.0mm 2.4 days Wettest February on record 90.0mm 2017
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2011
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Nirimba Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 28.5mm 5.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1.2mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 4.2mm 4.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 0.6mm Jan 3
    Lowest Temperature 12.0°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 40.1°C Feb 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nirimba Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 29.8 27.8 24.1 21.1 18.6 17.4 18.1 19.0 21.9 24.8 27.0 23.3
    Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.4 18.1 15.8 13.5 11.5 10.6 11.0 11.7 13.5 15.6 17.1 14.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.5 13.0 17.3 40.2 87.3 119.2 113.3 91.3 67.8 30.7 24.7 16.4 626.5
    Mean Rain Days 3.1 2.4 4.0 8.3 12.3 14.9 17.9 16.3 15.1 8.6 5.9 3.9 102.3