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Forecast

Nerramyne (27.8154°S, 115.671°E, 295m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 11° 32°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:11am WST 5:35am WST 6:31pm WST 6:55pm WST
    NOW
    20.7° Feels Like: 17.3°
    Relative Humidity: 61%
    Dew: 12.9°
    Wind: S 22km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1019.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nerramyne
    Now
    19.6°c
    Feels Like:
    18.6°
    Wind:
    ESE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    32°
    Max
    Today in Nerramyne
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the far northeast during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during the morning and afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming SW 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then tending S in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 38.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Nerramyne

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the far northeast during this afternoon and early evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north during the morning and afternoon. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending S/SW in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 30s.

    Forecast for Nerramyne (27.8154°S, 115.671°E, 295m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 11° 12° 13° 12° 17° 17° 13°
    Maximum 32° 30° 27° 32° 37° 36° 30°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SW SSW WSW S S ESE SE E ENE NE WNW SSW SW
    Relative humidity 46% 17% 61% 25% 52% 22% 26% 12% 15% 10% 23% 15% 52% 23%
    Dew point 9°C 4°C 11°C 8°C 8°C 4°C 2°C -0°C -1°C 1°C 3°C 5°C 10°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nerramyne Rain Forecast


    Nerramyne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nerramyne Rain Forecast


    Nerramyne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    6
    6
    6
    6
    8
    8
    7
    1
    5
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nerramyne Rain Forecast


    Nerramyne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Nov 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 November to 6 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 13 November to 17 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 November to 20 November. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 November to 5 November, 7 November to 11 November, and 19 November to 23 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nerramyne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    11.8 °C 30.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Oct 18
    14.1 °C 34.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Oct 19
    18.0 °C 34.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Oct 20
    13.5 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Oct 21
    9.7 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nerramyne minimum temp history (27.8154°S, 115.671°E, 295m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.5° 08/10/2019 Coldest this month 8.8° 14/10/2019
    Hottest on record 41.0 30/10/2013 Coldest on record 2.8 07/10/1968
    Hottest this year 44.3° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year 2.2° 16/08/2019
    Long term average 27.1° Long term average 11.2°
    Average this month 29.5° Average this month 12.4°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.5° 2015 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 7.2° 1989
    Nerramyne rainfall history (27.8154°S, 115.671°E, 295m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.4mm 12/10/2019 Total This Month 1.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 12.6mm 3.8 days Wettest October on record 55.0mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Nerramyne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 312.0mm 57.0 day(s)
    Total For 2019 183.7mm 34.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 286.7mm 59.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 29.4mm Apr14
    Lowest Temperature 2.2°C Aug16
    Highest Temperature 44.3°C Jan20
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Nerramyne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 36.8 36.5 33.7 28.7 23.7 19.9 18.8 20.2 23.4 27.1 31.1 34.4 27.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.5 20.2 18.4 15.1 11.2 8.6 7.0 7.2 8.6 11.2 14.4 17.0 13.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 12.6 18.2 19.2 21.4 45.7 61.5 59.7 40.8 20.3 12.6 8.6 8.2 324.8
    Mean Rain Days 2.3 2.4 2.5 3.7 6.8 9.9 10.7 9.0 5.9 3.8 2.3 1.8 55.9