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Forecast

Nalyerlup (34.1578°S, 118.4°E, 294m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 17° 27°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:50am WST 5:18am WST 7:17pm WST 7:45pm WST
    NOW
    13.6° Feels Like: 11.9°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 12.7°
    Wind: SSW 13km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.8mm
    Pressure: 1015.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Nalyerlup
    Now
    14.1°c
    Feels Like:
    12.7°
    Wind:
    SSW 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    89%
    Clearing shower
     
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Nalyerlup
    Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the morning. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    13°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the west. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Nalyerlup

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a light shower in the morning. Winds SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to high 20s.

    Forecast for Nalyerlup (34.1578°S, 118.4°E, 294m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 13° 19° 19° 18° 18° 20°
    Maximum 27° 30° 32° 34° 35° 40° 35°
    Chance of rain 30% 20% 10% 10% 5% 10% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW WSW SSW SE SSW ESE S SSE S E E NW WNW
    Relative humidity 72% 39% 61% 27% 65% 28% 62% 30% 60% 28% 54% 22% 40% 21%
    Dew point 14°C 12°C 13°C 10°C 16°C 12°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 16°C 14°C 13°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Nalyerlup Rain Forecast


    Nalyerlup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Nalyerlup Rain Forecast


    Nalyerlup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    7
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    6
    6
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Nalyerlup Rain Forecast


    Nalyerlup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 January to 3 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 30 January to 3 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 29 January to 2 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 21 February to 25 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Nalyerlup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    12.1 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    - 32.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    12.9 °C 25.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    11.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Nalyerlup minimum temp history (34.1578°S, 118.4°E, 294m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.0° 07/01/2020 Coldest this month 10.7° 10/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.5 12/01/2014 Coldest on record 6.2 01/01/1982
    Hottest this year 38.0° 07/01/2020 Coldest this year 10.7° 10/01/2020
    Long term average 28.7° Long term average 13.9°
    Average this month 30.0° Average this month 13.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.7° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.3° 1987
    Nalyerlup rainfall history (34.1578°S, 118.4°E, 294m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 0.3mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 19.0mm 3.6 days Wettest January on record 146.6mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Nalyerlup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 19.0mm 3.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 0.3mm 2.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 1.3mm 2.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 0.2mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 10.7°C Jan10
    Highest Temperature 38.0°C Jan 7
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Nalyerlup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.7 28.0 26.0 22.7 18.9 16.0 15.0 15.8 17.9 21.2 24.5 27.1 21.8
    Mean Min (°C) 13.9 14.4 13.3 11.2 8.6 6.7 5.8 5.8 6.5 8.1 10.6 12.4 9.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 19.0 19.3 22.4 26.0 43.2 48.2 49.0 42.9 38.2 33.1 25.7 17.7 384.4
    Mean Rain Days 3.6 4.0 5.1 7.2 11.5 14.4 15.3 14.3 12.2 9.2 6.2 4.1 106.1