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Forecast

Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 25° 41°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:31am WST 5:55am WST 7:02pm WST 7:26pm WST
    NOW
    23.5° Feels Like: 21.7°
    Relative Humidity: 49%
    Dew: 12.4°
    Wind: SW 13km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: &nbsp;
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Mardie
    Now
    25.4°c
    Feels Like:
    20.7°
    Wind:
    SW 41km/h
    Gusts:
    43km/h
    Humidity:
    68%
    Sunny
     
    25°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Today in Mardie
    Sunny. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    26°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Sunny morning. The chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the NE in the afternoon and evening. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then tending NW/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 40s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mardie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending SE/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.

    Forecast for Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Late shower Late shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 25° 26° 26° 26° 27° 29° 29°
    Maximum 41° 42° 39° 36° 38° 41° 38°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 40% 60% 70% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 20-40mm 20-40mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSW W S WNW WSW NW NNE NW SSW WSW SSE SSE E E
    Relative humidity 24% 18% 16% 20% 27% 34% 61% 53% 61% 51% 55% 47% 61% 55%
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 6°C 13°C 13°C 18°C 23°C 23°C 24°C 23°C 24°C 26°C 25°C 25°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    9
    9
    7
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mardie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 22
    22.3 °C 34.4 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Jan 23
    23.7 °C 35.0 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    24.5 °C 34.3 °C
    -
    Monday
    Jan 25
    22.6 °C 36.4 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    23.7 °C 38.0 °C
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mardie minimum temp history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 45.3° 10/01/2021 Coldest this month 22.3° 22/01/2021
    Hottest on record 49.0 01/01/2010 Coldest on record 16.1 25/01/1961
    Hottest this year 45.3° 10/01/2021 Coldest this year 22.3° 22/01/2021
    Long term average 37.9° Long term average 25.1°
    Average this month 40.4° Average this month 27.7°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 40.7° 1996 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.9° 1992
    Mardie rainfall history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.2mm 06/01/2021 Total This Month 2.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.1mm 3.1 days Wettest January on record 248.6mm 2011
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Mardie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 37.1mm 3.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 2.4mm 2.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1.0mm 1.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 2.2mm Jan 6
    Lowest Temperature 22.3°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 45.3°C Jan10
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mardie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.9 37.5 37.6 36.0 31.6 28.2 27.8 29.6 32.3 35.1 36.4 37.6 33.9
    Mean Min (°C) 25.1 25.3 24.3 21.3 16.9 13.9 12.0 12.4 14.4 17.7 20.2 23.1 18.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.1 64.6 49.5 17.6 35.9 36.4 11.6 5.5 1.1 0.8 1.4 9.1 274.9
    Mean Rain Days 3.1 4.2 3.1 1.4 2.8 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 22.5