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Forecast

Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 14° 27°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am WST 6:43am WST 6:00pm WST 6:23pm WST
    NOW
    17.9° Feels Like: 16.6°
    Relative Humidity: 83%
    Dew: 15.0°
    Wind: NE 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mardie
    Now
    22.6°c
    Feels Like:
    19.4°
    Wind:
    N 30km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    73%
    Late shower
     
    14°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Mardie
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of rain in the southwest, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of rain, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mardie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of rain in the southwest, most likely late this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending N/NE 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then tending N/NW in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 25 to 30.

    Forecast for Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 17° 13° 12° 12° 12° 12°
    Maximum 27° 26° 25° 26° 27° 29° 28°
    Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N SW W S W S W S SW ESE NE ESE NNE
    Relative humidity 66% 60% 65% 44% 54% 31% 51% 32% 39% 19% 25% 18% 33% 21%
    Dew point 16°C 16°C 15°C 12°C 11°C 6°C 10°C 7°C 6°C 1°C 1°C 2°C 5°C 3°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    9
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    1
    7
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 23 August to 27 August, and 5 September to 9 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 August to 31 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 August to 26 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 5 September to 9 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mardie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    14.3 °C 24.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    10.3 °C 27.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    10.7 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    12.1 °C 27.4 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Aug 08
    12.8 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mardie minimum temp history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.1° 01/08/2020 Coldest this month 10.3° 05/08/2020
    Hottest on record 38.1 17/08/1990 Coldest on record 4.4 04/08/1966
    Hottest this year 44.6° 06/02/2020 Coldest this year 10.3° 05/08/2020
    Long term average 29.6° Long term average 12.4°
    Average this month 28.5° Average this month 11.7°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.3° 1994 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 1961
    Mardie rainfall history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/08/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 5.6mm 1.0 days Wettest August on record 62.3mm 1941
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1885
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Mardie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 259.7mm 20.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 137.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 53.6mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 37.4mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 10.3°C Aug 5
    Highest Temperature 44.6°C Feb 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mardie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.9 37.5 37.6 35.9 31.5 28.2 27.7 29.6 32.2 35.1 36.4 37.5 33.9
    Mean Min (°C) 25.0 25.4 24.2 21.2 17.0 13.9 11.9 12.4 14.3 17.6 20.2 23.0 18.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.6 63.4 50.3 17.5 36.2 37.2 11.9 5.6 1.1 0.8 1.5 8.2 261.4
    Mean Rain Days 3.2 4.2 3.2 1.5 2.8 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 20.0