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Forecast

Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late thunder 28° 41°
    late thunder
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:25am WST 5:50am WST 7:04pm WST 7:28pm WST
    NOW
    28.4° Feels Like: 31.1°
    Relative Humidity: 67%
    Dew: 21.7°
    Wind: S 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1006.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Mardie
    Now
    28.4°c
    Feels Like:
    31.1°
    Wind:
    S 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Late thunder
     
    28°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Today in Mardie
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the northeast, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 36 to 44.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    28°
    Min
    40°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 43.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Mardie

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the northeast, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending E/SE 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending S/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 36 to 44.

    Forecast for Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Late thunder Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 28° 28° 27° 27° 28° 27° 27°
    Maximum 41° 40° 39° 41° 41° 39° 39°
    Chance of rain 60% 20% 10% 5% 5% 5% 10%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW WNW SSE NW WSW WNW SW W SSW WNW SE NNW WSW NW
    Relative humidity 46% 42% 45% 45% 44% 42% 24% 30% 18% 25% 34% 39% 49% 40%
    Dew point 22°C 25°C 22°C 24°C 21°C 23°C 12°C 19°C 8°C 16°C 17°C 22°C 22°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 January to 27 January, 4 February to 8 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 January to 27 January, 27 January to 31 January, and 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 January to 27 January, 1 February to 5 February, and 16 February to 20 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    9
    6
    7
    7
    9
    8
    8
    8
    9
    8
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Mardie Rain Forecast


    Mardie 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 January to 27 January, 4 February to 8 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 January to 27 January, 27 January to 31 January, and 11 February to 15 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 January to 27 January, 1 February to 5 February, and 16 February to 20 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Mardie Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    29.9 °C 36.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    28.6 °C 34.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    28.0 °C 37.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    27.9 °C 37.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    27.1 °C 36 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Mardie minimum temp history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 43.8° 03/01/2020 Coldest this month 25.4° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 49.0 01/01/2010 Coldest on record 16.1 25/01/1961
    Hottest this year 43.8° 03/01/2020 Coldest this year 25.4° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 37.9° Long term average 25.0°
    Average this month 38.7° Average this month 27.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 40.7° 1996 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 22.9° 1992
    Mardie rainfall history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.8mm 05/01/2020 Total This Month 1.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.6mm 3.2 days Wettest January on record 248.6mm 1996
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Mardie Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 37.6mm 3.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1.4mm 2.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 0.8mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 25.4°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 43.8°C Jan 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Mardie Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.9 37.5 37.6 35.9 31.5 28.2 27.7 29.6 32.2 35.1 36.4 37.5 33.9
    Mean Min (°C) 25.0 25.4 24.2 21.2 17.0 13.9 11.9 12.4 14.3 17.6 20.2 23.0 18.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 37.6 63.4 50.3 17.5 36.2 37.2 11.9 5.6 1.1 0.8 1.5 8.2 261.4
    Mean Rain Days 3.2 4.2 3.2 1.5 2.8 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 20.0