Forecast
Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW27° 40° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 5% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:58am WST 6:20am WST 6:27pm WST 6:49pm WST NOW29.9° Feels Like: 33.4° Relative Humidity: 80% Dew: 26.2° Wind: NE 19km/h Gust: 20km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1009.9hPa -
Today Weather
MardieNow28.8°cFeels Like:31.1°Wind:NE 28km/hGusts:32km/hHumidity:90%27°Min40°MaxToday in MardiePartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to 22 to 27 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 41.Tomorrow27°Min40°MaxMostly sunny. Winds E/SE 25 to 35 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to 23 to 28 with daytime temperatures reaching 36 to 42. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Mardie
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the coast, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds E/SE 30 to 45 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to 22 to 27 with daytime temperatures reaching 33 to 41.
Forecast for Mardie (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 27° 27° 27° 28° 27° 24° 24° Maximum 40° 40° 40° 40° 38° 37° 36° Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating High High Moderate High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 25
(km/h)25
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)10
(km/h)20
(km/h)22
(km/h)19
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction E NE E NNE ESE N E NNE E NNE E N E NNW Relative humidity 50% 32% 37% 34% 40% 36% 31% 29% 25% 27% 31% 29% 42% 36% Dew point 21°C 19°C 17°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 15°C 18°C 10°C 15°C 11°C 14°C 15°C 17°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Mardie Rain Forecast
Mardie 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Mardie Rain Forecast
Mardie 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025967888995977105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Mardie Rain Forecast
Mardie 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Mardie Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1527.6 °C 41.3 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1628.0 °C 42.1 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1729.0 °C - 0.0 mmMonday
Mar 18- 35.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1927.2 °C 37.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Mardie minimum temp history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.1° 16/03/2024 Coldest this month 23.9° 13/03/2024 Hottest on record 47.2 04/03/1980 Coldest on record 13.3 16/03/1958 Hottest this year 48.2° 19/02/2024 Coldest this year 22.2° 06/02/2024 Long term average 37.6° Long term average 24.4° Average this month 37.2° Average this month 27.0° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 41.1° 1980 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 21.7° 1993 Mardie rainfall history (21.1935°S, 115.9762°E, 10m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.4mm 06/03/2024 Total This Month 0.4mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 49.0mm 3.1 days Wettest March on record 330.4mm 1945 Driest on record 0.0mm 2016 -
Year to Date
Mardie Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 150.6mm 10.4 day(s) Total For 2024 3.2mm 2.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 126.6mm 13.0 day(s) Wettest Day 2.8mm Feb10 Lowest Temperature 22.2°C Feb 6 Highest Temperature 48.2°C Feb19 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Mardie Climatology
Mardie Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 37.9 37.5 37.6 35.9 31.6 28.2 27.9 29.6 32.3 35.1 36.3 37.5 33.9 Mean Min (°C) 25.2 25.4 24.4 21.3 17.0 13.9 12.0 12.5 14.4 17.7 20.2 23.1 18.9 Mean Rain (mm) 36.4 65.2 49.0 17.6 38.0 36.1 11.4 5.6 1.1 0.8 1.4 8.8 275.9 Mean Rain Days 3.0 4.3 3.1 1.5 2.8 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 22.6