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Forecast

Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 11° 26°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:06am WST 6:29am WST 5:45pm WST 6:08pm WST
    NOW
    19.2° Feels Like: 13.4°
    Relative Humidity: 39%
    Dew: 4.9°
    Wind: E 24km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Marble Bar
    Now
    14.8°c
    Feels Like:
    9.1°
    Wind:
    E 24km/h
    Gusts:
    28km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Sunny
     
    11°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Marble Bar
    Sunny. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Marble Bar

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds E/SE 20 to 30 km/h increasing to 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 11° 11° 10° 13° 11° 10°
    Maximum 26° 27° 30° 26° 26° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 40% 70% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High High High High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E ESE E ENE N NNW WNW SSW SW SSE WSW SSE S
    Relative humidity 35% 19% 31% 15% 18% 30% 74% 58% 50% 22% 41% 22% 35% 17%
    Dew point 5°C 1°C 2°C -2°C -4°C 10°C 17°C 16°C 9°C 2°C 6°C 3°C 4°C 0°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 29 August to 2 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 August to 16 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 25 August to 29 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 August to 15 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 23 August to 27 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    9
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    1
    7
    7
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    3
    4
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 6

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 19 August to 23 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 29 August to 2 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 August to 16 August, 19 August to 23 August, and 25 August to 29 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 August to 15 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 23 August to 27 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Marble Bar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Aug 02
    10.1 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 03
    11.6 °C 32.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    14.1 °C 28.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    11.0 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    13.9 °C 25.0 °C
    3.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Marble Bar minimum temp history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.5° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month 9.0° 01/08/2020
    Hottest on record 36.5 28/08/2012 Coldest on record 6.8 01/08/2012
    Hottest this year 44.2° 29/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.2° 13/07/2020
    Long term average 30.2° Long term average 13.1°
    Average this month 29.8° Average this month 11.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.8° 2012 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 11.8° 2002
    Marble Bar rainfall history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.4mm 06/08/2020 Total This Month 3.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 0.5mm 0.5 days Wettest August on record 2.8mm 2016
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Marble Bar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 348.8mm 36.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 368.0mm 19.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 334.2mm 26.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 144.2mm Jan 9
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Jul13
    Highest Temperature 44.2°C Jan29
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Marble Bar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 40.8 39.7 37.9 36.1 31.1 27.0 27.2 30.2 34.4 38.7 40.7 41.8 35.5
    Mean Min (°C) 26.6 26.1 25.0 22.0 17.1 13.4 12.3 13.1 16.7 21.7 24.2 26.1 20.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 90.9 86.3 89.3 22.6 13.8 27.0 18.4 0.5 4.7 3.9 9.9 34.3 392.8
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 8.8 6.4 2.6 2.7 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.4 4.4 40.8