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Forecast

Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 26° 41°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:49am WST 5:14am WST 6:38pm WST 7:03pm WST
    NOW
    37.0° Feels Like: 37.4°
    Relative Humidity: 23%
    Dew: 12.4°
    Wind: W 2km/h
    Gust: 4km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Marble Bar
    Now
    34.7°c
    Feels Like:
    35.7°
    Wind:
    N 17km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    26°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Today in Marble Bar
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland, most likely this afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    25°
    Min
    42°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the far east, near zero chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the far east in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to 20 to 25 with daytime temperatures reaching around 40.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers inland, most likely this afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.

    Forecast for Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny
    Minimum 26° 25° 26° 27° 29° 28° 27°
    Maximum 41° 42° 44° 45° 45° 43° 43°
    Chance of rain 30% 30% 10% 30% 30% 30% 50%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		2
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		5
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE N WSW NW S SSW S ENE S NNW E NNE NE N
    Relative humidity 30% 20% 31% 15% 15% 10% 11% 8% 14% 10% 30% 16% 38% 22%
    Dew point 15°C 13°C 15°C 11°C 7°C 6°C 4°C 4°C 7°C 7°C 17°C 12°C 20°C 17°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast

    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 December to 24 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 2 January to 6 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 December to 24 December, 25 December to 29 December, and 9 January to 13 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast

    Marble Bar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    8
    9
    8
    9
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast

    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 20 December to 24 December, 27 December to 31 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 December to 27 December, 28 December to 1 January, and 2 January to 6 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 December to 24 December, 25 December to 29 December, and 9 January to 13 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Marble Bar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Dec 11     		28.6 °C 43.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12     		31.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13     		- 41.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Dec 14     		27.7 °C 41 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 15     		23 °C -
    0.4 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Marble Bar minimum temp history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 46.4° 09/12/2019 Coldest this month 23.4° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 48.4 21/12/2011 Coldest on record 20.3 12/12/2008
    Hottest this year 49.1° 13/01/2019 Coldest this year 7.2° 07/06/2019
    Long term average 41.8° Long term average 26.1°
    Average this month 43.2° Average this month 26.2°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 43.9° 2015 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 24.3° 2001
    Marble Bar rainfall history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.3mm 4.4 days Wettest December on record 122.8mm 2015

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Marble Bar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 401.6mm 44.7 day(s)
    Total For 2019 365.2mm 30.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 418.2mm 35.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 138.0mm Mar25
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Jun 7
    Highest Temperature 49.1°C Jan13

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Marble Bar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 40.8 39.7 37.9 36.1 31.1 27.0 27.2 30.2 34.4 38.7 40.7 41.8 35.5
    Mean Min (°C) 26.6 26.1 25.0 22.0 17.1 13.4 12.3 13.1 16.7 21.7 24.2 26.1 20.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 90.9 86.3 89.3 22.6 13.8 27.0 18.4 0.5 4.7 3.9 9.9 34.3 392.8
    Mean Rain Days 9.8 8.8 6.4 2.6 2.7 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.8 1.1 2.4 4.4 40.8

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