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Forecast

Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 25° 43°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:17am WST 5:41am WST 6:47pm WST 7:11pm WST
    NOW
    43.0° Feels Like: 40.5°
    Relative Humidity: 9%
    Dew: 3.3°
    Wind: N 6km/h
    Gust: 6km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Marble Bar
    Now
    41.2°c
    Feels Like:
    36.8°
    Wind:
    S 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    8%
    Sunny
     
    25°
    Min
    43°
    Max
    Today in Marble Bar
    Mostly clear. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NE. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    25°
    Min
    41°
    Max
    Very hot and mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers in the E. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending SE/SW before dawn then tending NE/SE 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to the mid to high 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 37 to 45.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly clear. The chance of a thunderstorm in the NE. Winds SE/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening.

    Forecast for Marble Bar (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 25° 25° 26° 25° 26° 23° 24°
    Maximum 43° 41° 35° 33° 31° 30° 31°
    Chance of rain 5% 50% 80% 70% 80% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 10-20mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE NNE NNE ENE SE SE SSE SE ESE E E ENE NE NNE
    Relative humidity 23% 8% 51% 23% 60% 45% 61% 52% 66% 58% 73% 69% 75% 68%
    Dew point 11°C 3°C 21°C 15°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 24°C 24°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    8
    7
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    8
    9
    9
    7
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Marble Bar Rain Forecast


    Marble Bar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    HIGH
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan28

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Marble Bar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    24.0 °C 42.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    28.8 °C 41.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    25.3 °C 43.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    25.4 °C 44.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 28
    24.3 °C 44.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Marble Bar minimum temp history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 46.0° 14/01/2021 Coldest this month 22.1° 06/01/2021
    Hottest on record 49.0 23/01/2015 Coldest on record 19.7 05/01/2007
    Hottest this year 46.0° 14/01/2021 Coldest this year 22.1° 06/01/2021
    Long term average 40.8° Long term average 26.5°
    Average this month 41.5° Average this month 26.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 44.6° 2005 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 24.8° 2012
    Marble Bar rainfall history (21.1714°S, 119.7439°E, 173m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 3.0mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 4.8mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 109.1mm 10.0 days Wettest January on record 330.0mm 2014
    Driest on record 1.4mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Marble Bar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 109.1mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total For 2021 4.8mm 4.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 311.6mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 3.0mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 22.1°C Jan 6
    Highest Temperature 46.0°C Jan14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Marble Bar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 40.8 39.9 38.4 36.4 31.1 27.3 27.7 30.3 34.7 38.9 40.8 41.9 35.6
    Mean Min (°C) 26.5 26.1 25.2 22.2 17.0 13.4 12.3 13.1 16.8 21.8 24.0 26.2 20.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 109.1 75.1 95.8 20.6 12.5 23.5 14.9 0.7 3.9 3.3 10.8 38.9 389.9
    Mean Rain Days 10.0 8.9 7.0 2.5 2.5 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 2.4 4.4 42.8