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Forecast

Lesley (32.1434°S, 116.1864°E, 238m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 23° 40°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:34am WST 5:02am WST 7:11pm WST 7:39pm WST
    NOW
    23.8° Feels Like: 14.3°
    Relative Humidity: 40%
    Dew: 9.7°
    Wind: E 48km/h
    Gust: 59km/h
    Rainfall since 9am:  
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Lesley
    Now
    26.1°c
    Feels Like:
    20.7°
    Wind:
    ESE 28km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    37%
    Windy
     
    23°
    Min
    40°
    Max
    Today in Lesley
    Very hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or gusty thunderstorm in the far east in the afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 25 to 40 km/h shifting W 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 40s.
    Tomorrow
    Windy with showers
    17°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the south, medium chance elsewhere. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h turning W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late morning and early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Very hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or gusty thunderstorm in the far east in the afternoon and early evening. Winds E/NE 25 to 40 km/h shifting W 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching the low 40s.

    Forecast for Lesley (32.1434°S, 116.1864°E, 238m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Windy Windy with showers Mostly sunny Sunny Windy Windy Windy
    Minimum 23° 17° 14° 14° 17° 17° 19°
    Maximum 40° 26° 26° 32° 36° 38° 39°
    Chance of rain 20% 80% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 25
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		21
    (km/h)     		28
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		15
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		23
    (km/h)     		13
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE WNW WNW W SW SW ESE SSW E SSE ESE SE E E
    Relative humidity 29% 24% 61% 65% 56% 38% 45% 23% 32% 15% 30% 15% 34% 14%
    Dew point 12°C 12°C 17°C 16°C 12°C 10°C 10°C 8°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 7°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lesley Rain Forecast

    Lesley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lesley Rain Forecast

    Lesley 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    4
    7
    8
    5
    5
    6
    4
    4
    5
    9
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lesley Rain Forecast

    Lesley 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    6
    LOW
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 5

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 December to 19 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 December to 16 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 22 December to 26 December, and 4 January to 8 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lesley Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Dec 01     		9.6 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 02     		15.2 °C 32.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 03     		19.2 °C 37.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 04     		22.3 °C 36.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 05     		18.7 °C 38 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Lesley minimum temp history (32.1434°S, 116.1864°E, 238m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.7° 03/12/2019 Coldest this month 9.6° 01/12/2019
    Hottest on record 41.0 20/12/2002 Coldest on record 5.0 02/12/2002
    Hottest this year 40.4° 20/01/2019 Coldest this year 2.4° 05/09/2019
    Long term average 28.0° Long term average 13.6°
    Average this month 34.4° Average this month 16.6°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 2009 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 11.2° 2005
    Lesley rainfall history (32.1434°S, 116.1864°E, 238m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/12/2019 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 14.0mm 3.6 days Wettest December on record 41.0mm 2009

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Lesley Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1103.7mm 112.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 949.4mm 102.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1270.0mm 136.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 59.6mm Jun23
    Lowest Temperature 2.4°C Sep 5
    Highest Temperature 40.4°C Jan20

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Lesley Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.6 30.6 28.0 23.6 19.3 16.1 15.1 16.0 17.5 21.2 25.0 28.0 22.6
    Mean Min (°C) 15.4 15.8 14.6 12.7 10.2 8.1 7.1 7.6 8.2 9.7 11.9 13.6 11.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 18.9 21.0 26.6 56.1 132.6 201.0 219.9 173.4 131.5 65.8 42.9 14.0 1104.1
    Mean Rain Days 2.7 2.7 4.0 7.3 12.6 16.5 17.7 16.4 13.6 9.2 6.6 3.6 110.7

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