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Forecast

Leeuwin (34.3132°S, 115.1189°E, 149m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 13° 19°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:56am WST 7:23am WST 5:28pm WST 5:56pm WST
    NOW
    17.8° Feels Like: 9.4°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 14.1°
    Wind: NW 50km/h
    Gust: 54km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 4.8mm
    Pressure: 1006.9hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Leeuwin
    Now
    15.3°c
    Feels Like:
    13.8°
    Wind:
    N 15km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    13°
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Leeuwin
    Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Gusty winds possible with showers or thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning. Possible hail in the morning and early afternoon. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h tending SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Leeuwin

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Very high (near 100%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Gusty winds possible with showers or thunderstorm in the morning and early afternoon. Winds N 20 to 30 km/h turning W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching around 17.

    Forecast for Leeuwin (34.3132°S, 115.1189°E, 149m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Showers Cloudy Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 13° 10° 10°
    Maximum 19° 15° 17° 16° 17° 19° 20°
    Chance of rain 80% 50% 50% 10% 5% 40% 90%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Moderate Low Low Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 51
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    39
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    38
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW WNW SW WSW WSW SW SSE SE NE NE NNE N N NNW
    Relative humidity 83% 78% 65% 62% 74% 67% 69% 66% 78% 58% 76% 66% 78% 66%
    Dew point 16°C 13°C 5°C 7°C 10°C 11°C 6°C 10°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 13°C 11°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Leeuwin Rain Forecast


    Leeuwin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 12 August to 16 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Leeuwin Rain Forecast


    Leeuwin 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    3
    5
    6
    6
    6
    7
    8
    6
    4
    5
    4
    2
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Leeuwin Rain Forecast


    Leeuwin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 15 August to 19 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 20 July to 24 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 12 August to 16 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 August to 7 August, 10 August to 14 August, and 16 August to 20 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Leeuwin Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 11
    6.7 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 12
    8.0 °C 20.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 13
    11.0 °C 17.7 °C
    10.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 14
    12.0 °C 16.7 °C
    10.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 15
    11.8 °C 17.7 °C
    3.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Leeuwin minimum temp history (34.3132°S, 115.1189°E, 149m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.3° 04/07/2020 Coldest this month 6.7° 11/07/2020
    Hottest on record 22.5 17/07/1976 Coldest on record 4.4 01/07/1964
    Hottest this year 35.0° 28/02/2020 Coldest this year 6.7° 11/07/2020
    Long term average 16.4° Long term average 11.3°
    Average this month 17.4° Average this month 11.3°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.8° 1999 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 10.3° 1960
    Leeuwin rainfall history (34.3132°S, 115.1189°E, 149m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 17.4mm 06/07/2020 Total This Month 64.6mm
    9.0 days
    Long Term Average 182.6mm 24.6 days Wettest July on record 335.3mm 1967
    Driest on record 44.4mm 1918
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Leeuwin Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 617.7mm 100.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 384.6mm 97.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 436.4mm 80.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 42.6mm Mar15
    Lowest Temperature 6.7°C Jul11
    Highest Temperature 35.0°C Feb28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Leeuwin Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 23.1 23.4 22.7 21.3 19.2 17.4 16.4 16.5 17.1 18.3 20.2 21.8 19.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 17.3 16.8 15.5 13.8 12.2 11.3 11.2 11.8 12.6 14.2 15.8 14.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 16.1 15.5 28.8 59.7 138.5 176.5 182.6 136.9 91.5 63.7 37.5 20.0 965.7
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 5.9 8.9 13.3 19.7 22.1 24.6 23.3 20.1 16.7 11.1 8.1 177.1