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Forecast

Learmonth (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy 16° 29°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am WST 6:08am WST 6:21pm WST 6:44pm WST
    NOW
    21.5° Feels Like: 16.9°
    Relative Humidity: 52%
    Dew: 11.2°
    Wind: S 26km/h
    Gust: 35km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Learmonth
    Now
    22.3°c
    Feels Like:
    16.3°
    Wind:
    S 32km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Windy
     
    16°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Learmonth
    Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h shifting NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 39.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    17°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then tending S/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 39.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h shifting NW 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 39.

    Forecast for Learmonth (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Windy Windy Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 16° 17° 16° 18° 19° 17° 17°
    Maximum 29° 28° 32° 35° 30° 29° 29°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SW SSW SW SSE SW SSE NW SSW NW SSW WSW SSW SSW
    Relative humidity 50% 24% 51% 29% 48% 17% 27% 12% 35% 22% 56% 28% 51% 27%
    Dew point 11°C 5°C 13°C 7°C 12°C 3°C 7°C 1°C 10°C 5°C 15°C 8°C 13°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    7
    8
    7
    8
    1
    7
    9
    9
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Learmonth Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    12.1 °C 31.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    11.2 °C 30.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    22.4 °C 28.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    15.3 °C 30.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    13.8 °C 29.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Learmonth minimum temp history (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 38.0° 15/09/2020 Coldest this month 11.2° 23/09/2020
    Hottest on record 41.3 28/09/2010 Coldest on record 5.6 02/09/1993
    Hottest this year 44.2° 06/02/2020 Coldest this year 8.3° 27/07/2020
    Long term average 29.3° Long term average 13.7°
    Average this month 31.6° Average this month 15.4°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 31.7° 2015 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 12.0° 2016
    Learmonth rainfall history (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/09/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 1.8mm 0.9 days Wettest September on record 14.4mm 1981
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1950
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Learmonth Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 253.4mm 25.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 86.8mm 12.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 173.2mm 24.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 59.6mm May25
    Lowest Temperature 8.3°C Jul27
    Highest Temperature 44.2°C Feb 6
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Learmonth Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 37.9 37.5 36.4 33.2 28.5 24.8 24.2 26.4 29.3 32.8 34.6 36.9 31.8
    Mean Min (°C) 23.0 24.1 22.9 20.4 16.1 13.1 11.5 12.2 13.7 16.4 18.5 20.8 17.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 28.9 41.4 43.6 17.7 43.2 43.2 22.8 10.8 1.8 1.6 1.8 6.2 264.8
    Mean Rain Days 2.4 3.2 2.4 1.7 3.7 5.0 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.7 24.6