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Forecast

Learmonth (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 24° 34°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:00am WST 6:23am WST 6:46pm WST 7:09pm WST
    NOW
    26.8° Feels Like: 27.0°
    Relative Humidity: 77%
    Dew: 22.4°
    Wind: W 24km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Learmonth
    Now
    26.7°c
    Feels Like:
    26.9°
    Wind:
    SW 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Mostly sunny
     
    24°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Today in Learmonth
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the SE during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm inland during this afternoon and evening. Winds NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    23°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower inland. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h tending NW/NE in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to the low to mid 20s with daytime temperatures reaching 36 to 41.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Learmonth

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the SE during this afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm inland during this afternoon and evening. Winds NW/SW 20 to 30 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures around 40.

    Forecast for Learmonth (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Increasing sunshine Windy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 24° 23° 22° 22° 24° 25° 25°
    Maximum 34° 33° 34° 37° 39° 36° 35°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 5% 20% 70% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW W WSW WNW SSW WNW SSW WSW S SE E NNE E NE
    Relative humidity 60% 49% 67% 50% 66% 48% 59% 34% 45% 29% 58% 47% 64% 50%
    Dew point 22°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 22°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2021
    2022
    8
    9
    7
    8
    8
    8
    9
    8
    7
    9
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Learmonth Rain Forecast


    Learmonth 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 22 March to 26 March, and 10 April to 14 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 March to 21 March, and 22 March to 26 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 13 March to 17 March, 21 March to 25 March, and 10 April to 14 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Learmonth Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 03
    21.5 °C 30.6 °C
    68.6 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 04
    20.0 °C 29.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Friday
    Mar 05
    20.2 °C 32.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 06
    21.4 °C 35.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 07
    23.5 °C 36.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Learmonth minimum temp history (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.7° 06/03/2021 Coldest this month 20.0° 04/03/2021
    Hottest on record 45.5 03/03/1985 Coldest on record 15.0 20/03/1993
    Hottest this year 45.9° 15/01/2021 Coldest this year 19.8° 27/01/2021
    Long term average 36.5° Long term average 23.0°
    Average this month 30.6° Average this month 21.4°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 39.0° 2010 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 20.0° 1993
    Learmonth rainfall history (22.2148°S, 114.0944°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 68.6mm 03/03/2021 Total This Month 86.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.2mm 2.4 days Wettest March on record 413.6mm 2015
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Learmonth Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 104.8mm 7.6 day(s)
    Total For 2021 99.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 0.0mm 0.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 68.6mm Mar 3
    Lowest Temperature 19.8°C Jan27
    Highest Temperature 45.9°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Learmonth Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 38.0 37.6 36.5 33.4 28.6 24.9 24.4 26.5 29.5 32.8 34.6 37.0 31.9
    Mean Min (°C) 23.1 24.0 23.0 20.5 16.0 13.1 11.5 12.1 13.8 16.4 18.5 20.9 17.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 27.8 36.8 40.2 17.8 41.8 41.9 21.8 11.3 2.0 1.5 1.7 5.0 244.7
    Mean Rain Days 2.2 3.0 2.4 1.7 3.6 4.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 25.8