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Forecast

Lake Ninan (30.9337°S, 116.6481°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 16°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:44am WST 7:10am WST 5:27pm WST 5:53pm WST
    NOW
    9.5° Feels Like: 4.0°
    Relative Humidity: 62%
    Dew: 2.6°
    Wind: SE 20km/h
    Gust: 22km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1028.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Lake Ninan
    Now
    9.8°c
    Feels Like:
    5.7°
    Wind:
    E 15km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    69%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Lake Ninan
    Sunny. Areas of frost in the early morning. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 2 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the east. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 20 to 30 km/h during the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Lake Ninan

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of frost in the early morning. Winds E 15 to 20 km/h turning NE 15 to 25 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 2 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 17.

    Forecast for Lake Ninan (30.9337°S, 116.6481°E, 257m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Showers easing Fog then sunny Late shower Rain
    Minimum 11° 11°
    Maximum 16° 18° 21° 15° 17° 19° 15°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 80% 70% 20% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 10-20mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 20
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE NE NNE NNE N WNW W NNE NNW NNE NNW NW W
    Relative humidity 74% 43% 58% 31% 40% 33% 84% 64% 83% 58% 77% 61% 88% 75%
    Dew point 3°C 3°C 0°C 1°C -1°C 4°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 8°C 7°C 11°C 11°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Lake Ninan Rain Forecast


    Lake Ninan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 July to 21 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 30 July to 3 August, and 6 August to 10 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Lake Ninan Rain Forecast


    Lake Ninan 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    4
    6
    6
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    5
    3
    1
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Lake Ninan Rain Forecast


    Lake Ninan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    HIGH
    15
    16
    HIGH
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    LOW
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul10

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 July to 21 July, 29 July to 2 August, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 31 July to 4 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 17 July to 21 July, 30 July to 3 August, and 6 August to 10 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Lake Ninan Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 06
    11.1 °C 18.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    6.7 °C 16.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    8.6 °C 17.2 °C
    0.4 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    4.1 °C 14.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 10
    1.6 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Lake Ninan minimum temp history (30.9337°S, 116.6481°E, 257m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.4° 05/07/2020 Coldest this month 4.1° 09/07/2020
    Hottest on record 25.4 17/07/1976 Coldest on record -0.9 11/07/1969
    Hottest this year 45.3° 28/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.4° 19/05/2020
    Long term average 17.0° Long term average 6.6°
    Average this month 18.1° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.8° 1977 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 4.8° 2010
    Lake Ninan rainfall history (30.9337°S, 116.6481°E, 257m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.4mm 01/07/2020 Total This Month 1.8mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 69.3mm 13.5 days Wettest July on record 174.4mm 1958
    Driest on record 8.1mm 1937
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Lake Ninan Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 263.6mm 46.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 170.2mm 37.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 175.3mm 33.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 24.4mm Feb25
    Lowest Temperature 3.4°C May19
    Highest Temperature 45.3°C Jan28
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Lake Ninan Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.6 34.1 30.9 26.4 21.5 18.2 17.0 17.9 20.7 25.1 29.2 32.4 25.6
    Mean Min (°C) 17.9 18.3 16.4 13.4 9.9 7.7 6.6 6.6 7.6 10.0 13.2 15.8 11.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 15.2 15.3 20.8 22.6 51.3 69.1 69.3 50.8 29.7 19.5 12.5 9.8 386.1
    Mean Rain Days 2.0 2.3 2.9 4.8 8.9 12.3 13.5 12.2 8.5 5.8 3.4 2.0 77.6