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Forecast

Kalumburu (14.2933°S, 126.6401°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible thunderstorm 23° 36°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    4:58am WST 5:19am WST 5:30pm WST 5:51pm WST
    NOW
    31.7° Feels Like: 34.8°
    Relative Humidity: 58%
    Dew: 22.4°
    Wind: S 9km/h
    Gust: 15km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Kalumburu
    Now
    30.2°c
    Feels Like:
    32.6°
    Wind:
    SW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    63%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    23°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Kalumburu
    Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Northern Territory border. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then tending NW/SW in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 40.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    23°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the northeast in the morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NW/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Kalumburu

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Medium chance of showers near the Northern Territory border. The chance of a thunderstorm in the east. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then tending NW/SW in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 35 to 40.

    Forecast for Kalumburu (14.2933°S, 126.6401°E, 18m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm
    Minimum 23° 23° 23° 24° 23° 23° 23°
    Maximum 36° 37° 38° 37° 36° 36° 36°
    Chance of rain 40% 30% 30% 20% 40% 30% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW NNE SW N WSW NNW W N N NNE ENE NNE W N
    Relative humidity 50% 53% 45% 49% 39% 44% 40% 54% 52% 55% 47% 40% 46% 51%
    Dew point 21°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 22°C 22°C 23°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 21°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Kalumburu Rain Forecast


    Kalumburu 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Kalumburu Rain Forecast


    Kalumburu 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    8
    7
    7
    7
    8
    1
    7
    9
    9
    10
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Kalumburu Rain Forecast


    Kalumburu 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 October to 13 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 October to 7 October, 14 October to 18 October, and 25 October to 29 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Kalumburu Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    23.3 °C 38.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    23.1 °C 37.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    23.3 °C 36.4 °C
    12.2 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    23.6 °C 37.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Sep 26
    23.9 °C 36.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Kalumburu minimum temp history (14.2933°S, 126.6401°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.8° 20/09/2020 Coldest this month 18.3° 07/09/2020
    Hottest on record 41.4 23/09/2009 Coldest on record 8.4 05/09/2003
    Hottest this year 40.8° 20/09/2020 Coldest this year 5.7° 31/07/2020
    Long term average 35.8° Long term average 19.1°
    Average this month 36.5° Average this month 20.6°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.5° 2016 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 16.3° 2011
    Kalumburu rainfall history (14.2933°S, 126.6401°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.2mm 24/09/2020 Total This Month 12.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 1.9mm 0.8 days Wettest September on record 12.0mm 2001
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1999
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for WA

  16. Year to Date

    Kalumburu Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 905.7mm 66.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 952.8mm 44.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 620.0mm 40.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 117.8mm Jan 8
    Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Jul31
    Highest Temperature 40.8°C Sep20
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Kalumburu Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.9 33.5 33.9 34.8 33.6 31.6 32.1 33.5 35.8 36.8 37.1 35.2 34.3
    Mean Min (°C) 24.6 24.3 23.6 20.9 17.1 14.4 14.0 14.6 19.1 22.5 24.7 24.9 20.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 322.4 294.7 222.8 39.6 19.3 2.8 1.8 0.4 1.9 39.0 86.1 255.0 1304.2
    Mean Rain Days 19.9 18.1 16.7 6.7 2.1 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.8 4.4 9.6 16.5 92.0