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Forecast

Jurien Bay (30.3079°S, 115.0365°E, 1m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 17° 30°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:43am WST 6:07am WST 6:59pm WST 7:23pm WST
    NOW
    23.4° Feels Like: 23.1°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 16.7°
    Wind: S 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Jurien Bay
    Now
    26.3°c
    Feels Like:
    26.0°
    Wind:
    E 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Sunny
     
    17°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Jurien Bay
    Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning then tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 34 to 41.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    17°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds S 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h turning W/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning then tending S/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 34 to 41.

    Forecast for Jurien Bay (30.3079°S, 115.0365°E, 1m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Windy Windy Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 17° 17° 17° 18° 17° 16°
    Maximum 30° 28° 29° 29° 30° 27° 28°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 70% 30% 30% 70%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SW S SSW SSE SSW SE SSW SE S ESE SSW ENE SW
    Relative humidity 63% 58% 64% 61% 56% 56% 57% 61% 58% 51% 70% 65% 62% 60%
    Dew point 16°C 20°C 14°C 20°C 13°C 18°C 13°C 20°C 13°C 19°C 16°C 20°C 14°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jurien Bay Rain Forecast


    Jurien Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jurien Bay Rain Forecast


    Jurien Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    10
    7
    8
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    4
    7
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jurien Bay Rain Forecast


    Jurien Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    28
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 13 March to 17 March, 23 March to 27 March, and 31 March to 4 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 March to 6 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 7 March to 11 March, 16 March to 20 March, and 30 March to 3 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jurien Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Feb 21
    16.9 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Feb 22
    - 39.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Feb 23
    16.8 °C 35.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 24
    18.6 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 25
    - -
    0.1 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jurien Bay minimum temp history (30.3079°S, 115.0365°E, 1m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.9° 01/02/2021 Coldest this month 11.3° 19/02/2021
    Hottest on record 44.7 23/02/1991 Coldest on record 8.8 12/02/1977
    Hottest this year 41.0° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 11.3° 19/02/2021
    Long term average 30.8° Long term average 17.9°
    Average this month 29.4° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.8° 1985 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.6° 1981
    Jurien Bay rainfall history (30.3079°S, 115.0365°E, 1m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 98.0mm 07/02/2021 Total This Month 114.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 14.6mm 2.6 days Wettest February on record 164.4mm 1986
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Jurien Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 22.6mm 4.5 day(s)
    Total For 2021 114.0mm 5.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 21.4mm 3.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 98.0mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 11.3°C Feb19
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jurien Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.1 30.8 29.4 26.4 23.3 20.7 19.6 20.0 21.3 23.4 25.9 28.3 24.9
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.9 16.7 14.1 11.7 10.3 9.4 9.4 10.0 11.3 13.7 15.6 13.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 8.0 14.6 14.3 28.8 74.8 105.2 111.1 80.2 43.6 24.9 17.7 6.4 530.9
    Mean Rain Days 1.9 2.6 3.5 6.8 11.3 14.1 16.2 14.5 11.6 7.7 5.2 2.8 98.6