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Forecast

Jerramungup (33.9412°S, 118.9218°E, 292m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Thunderstorms 17° 26°
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:28am WST 5:53am WST 6:37pm WST 7:02pm WST
    NOW
    19.2° Feels Like: 19.2°
    Relative Humidity: 89%
    Dew: 17.3°
    Wind: NE 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 5.8mm
    Pressure: 1012.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Jerramungup
    Now
    19.6°c
    Feels Like:
    19.3°
    Wind:
    NE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    18km/h
    Humidity:
    87%
    Thunderstorms
     
    17°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Jerramungup
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely during this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Squally winds, hail and moderate to heavy falls possible with thunderstorms, most likely in the E during this afternoon and early evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NE in the middle of the day then tending N/NW and becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    16°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the afternoon and early evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers, becoming less likely during this evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Squally winds, hail and moderate to heavy falls possible with thunderstorms, most likely in the E during this afternoon and early evening. Winds NE 20 to 30 km/h tending N/NE in the middle of the day then tending N/NW and becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Jerramungup (33.9412°S, 118.9218°E, 292m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Thunderstorms Possible shower Possible shower Clearing shower Possible shower Mostly cloudy Mostly cloudy
    Minimum 17° 16° 17° 16° 15° 14° 14°
    Maximum 26° 28° 26° 23° 23° 25° 27°
    Chance of rain 80% 70% 50% 60% 60% 20% 40%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE WNW W SSW SSW SSE SSE ESE ESE E ESE ENE E
    Relative humidity 85% 74% 75% 58% 81% 71% 84% 74% 83% 73% 76% 59% 68% 51%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 14°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Jerramungup Rain Forecast


    Jerramungup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Jerramungup Rain Forecast


    Jerramungup 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2021
    2022
    8
    7
    6
    6
    6
    7
    6
    4
    7
    8
    9
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 5

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Jerramungup Rain Forecast


    Jerramungup 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar 4

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 29 March to 2 April, and 5 April to 9 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 7 April to 11 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 March to 27 March, 30 March to 3 April, and 6 April to 10 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Jerramungup Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Feb 27
    13.5 °C 22.6 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 28
    13.1 °C 23.2 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Mar 01
    14.7 °C 21.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 02
    14.9 °C 23.0 °C
    7.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Mar 03
    16.6 °C 23.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Jerramungup minimum temp history (33.9412°S, 118.9218°E, 292m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.0° 02/03/2021 Coldest this month 14.7° 01/03/2021
    Hottest on record 40.4 13/03/2015 Coldest on record 4.0 30/03/1996
    Hottest this year 41.1° 09/01/2021 Coldest this year 7.6° 19/02/2021
    Long term average 25.7° Long term average 12.6°
    Average this month 22.0° Average this month 15.4°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.2° 2005 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2004
    Jerramungup rainfall history (33.9412°S, 118.9218°E, 292m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.8mm 02/03/2021 Total This Month 7.8mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 34.9mm 9.1 days Wettest March on record 107.4mm 2016
    Driest on record 4.2mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Jerramungup Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 85.5mm 21.8 day(s)
    Total For 2021 45.0mm 16.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 67.2mm 22.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 16.6mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 7.6°C Feb19
    Highest Temperature 41.1°C Jan 9
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Jerramungup Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.1 27.5 25.7 23.0 19.7 16.9 15.7 16.8 19.0 22.0 24.8 26.5 22.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.1 13.6 12.6 10.8 8.3 6.5 5.6 5.7 6.3 7.8 9.8 11.5 9.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 29.2 21.4 34.9 38.7 33.3 45.3 49.8 52.0 43.8 38.1 30.0 28.2 437.8
    Mean Rain Days 6.4 6.3 9.1 10.7 12.8 16.9 18.3 18.9 14.8 11.5 8.7 7.2 139.6